# CTBench: Cryptocurrency Time Series Generation Benchmark

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.02758 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.02758/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 44 of its 83 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 3 Aug 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 44)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Generative Adversarial Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.00667/) (2022)
- [XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting System](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.02754/) (2016)
- [Neural Ordinary Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07366/) (2018)
- [Real-valued (Medical) Time Series Generation with Recurrent Conditional GANs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.02633/) (2017)
- [TFB: Towards Comprehensive and Fair Benchmarking of Time Series Forecasting Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.20150/) (2024)
- [Adversarial Audio Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.04208/) (2018)
- [Diffusion-TS: Interpretable Diffusion for General Time Series Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.01742/) (2024)
- [Neural SDEs as Infinite-Dimensional GANs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.03657/) (2021)
- [TimeVAE: A Variational Auto-Encoder for Multivariate Time Series Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.08095/) (2021)
- [C-RNN-GAN: Continuous recurrent neural networks with adversarial training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.09904/) (2016)
- [Quant GANs: Deep Generation of Financial Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.06673/) (2019)
- [COT-GAN: Generating Sequential Data via Causal Optimal Transport](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.08571/) (2020)
- [Sig-Wasserstein GANs for Time Series Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.01207/) (2021)
- [PSA-GAN: Progressive Self Attention GANs for Synthetic Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.00981/) (2021)
- [On the Constrained Time-Series Generation Problem](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.01717/) (2023)
- [Time Series Domain Adaptation via Sparse Associative Structure Alignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.11797/) (2020)
- [Vector Quantized Time Series Generation with a Bidirectional Prior Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.04743/) (2023)
- [Generative Modeling of Regular and Irregular Time Series Data via Koopman VAEs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.02619/) (2023)
- [Causal Recurrent Variational Autoencoder for Medical Time Series Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.06574/) (2023)
- [GT-GAN: General Purpose Time Series Synthesis with Generative Adversarial Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.02040/) (2022)
- [Utilizing Image Transforms and Diffusion Models for Generative Modeling of Short and Long Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.19538/) (2024)
- [TTS-GAN: A Transformer-based Time-Series Generative Adversarial Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.02691/) (2022)
- [Deep Latent State Space Models for Time-Series Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.12749/) (2022)
- [Modeling Continuous Stochastic Processes with Dynamic Normalizing Flows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.10516/) (2020)
- [Conditional GAN for timeseries generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.16477/) (2020)
- [T-CGAN: Conditional Generative Adversarial Network for Data Augmentation in Noisy Time Series with Irregular Sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.08295/) (2018)
- [Towards Generating Real-World Time Series Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.08386/) (2021)
- [TSGBench: Time Series Generation Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.03755/) (2023)
- [Reinforcement Learning for Quantitative Trading](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.13851/) (2021)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [Structured Agentic Workflows for Financial Time-Series Modeling with LLMs and Reflective Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.13915/) (2025)
- [MOSAIC: Modular Orchestration for Structured Agentic Intelligence and Composition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.00708/) (2026)
- [RFOD: Random Forest-based Outlier Detection for Tabular Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.08747/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Synthetic time series are essential tools for data augmentation, stress testing, and algorithmic prototyping in quantitative finance. However, in cryptocurrency markets, characterized by 24/7 trading, extreme volatility, and rapid regime shifts, existing Time Series Generation (TSG) methods and benchmarks often fall short, jeopardizing practical utility. Most prior work (1) targets non-financial or traditional financial domains, (2) focuses narrowly on classification and forecasting while neglecting crypto-specific complexities, and (3) lacks critical financial evaluations, particularly for trading applications. To address these gaps, we introduce textsfCTBench, the first comprehensive TSG benchmark tailored for the cryptocurrency domain. textsfCTBench curates an open-source dataset from 452 tokens and evaluates TSG models across 13 metrics spanning 5 key dimensions: forecasting accuracy, rank fidelity, trading performance, risk assessment, and computational efficiency. A key innovation is a dual-task evaluation framework: (1) the Predictive Utility task measures how well synthetic data preserves temporal and cross-sectional patterns for forecasting, while (2) the Statistical Arbitrage task assesses whether reconstructed series support mean-reverting signals for trading. We benchmark eight representative models from five methodological families over four distinct market regimes, uncovering trade-offs between statistical fidelity and real-world profitability. Notably, textsfCTBench offers model ranking analysis and actionable guidance for selecting and deploying TSG models in crypto analytics and strategy development.
