# OKG-LLM: Aligning Ocean Knowledge Graph with Observation Data via LLMs for Global Sea Surface Temperature Prediction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.00933 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.00933/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 30 of its 56 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 31 Jul 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 30)

- [LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.13971/) (2023)
- [Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.07436/) (2020)
- [From Local to Global: A Graph RAG Approach to Query-Focused Summarization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.16130/) (2024)
- [Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.13504/) (2022)
- [FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.12740/) (2022)
- [Convolutional 2D Knowledge Graph Embeddings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.01476/) (2017)
- [Time-LLM: Time Series Forecasting by Reprogramming Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.01728/) (2023)
- [A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.10688/) (2023)
- [Unifying Large Language Models and Knowledge Graphs: A Roadmap](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.08302/) (2023)
- [One Fits All:Power General Time Series Analysis by Pretrained LM](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.11939/) (2023)
- [TEMPO: Prompt-based Generative Pre-trained Transformer for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.04948/) (2023)
- [PromptCast: A New Prompt-based Learning Paradigm for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.08964/) (2022)
- [Frequency-domain MLPs are More Effective Learners in Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.06184/) (2023)
- [UniTime: A Language-Empowered Unified Model for Cross-Domain Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.09751/) (2023)
- [TimeMixer++: A General Time Series Pattern Machine for Universal Predictive Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.16032/) (2024)
- [UrbanGPT: Spatio-Temporal Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.00813/) (2024)
- [Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Dynamic Graph Neural ODEs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.08408/) (2022)
- [Knowledge Graphs: Opportunities and Challenges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.13948/) (2023)
- [K2: A Foundation Language Model for Geoscience Knowledge Understanding and Utilization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.05064/) (2023)
- [Knowledge Graph-Guided Retrieval Augmented Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.06864/) (2025)
- [A Survey on Time-Series Pre-Trained Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.10716/) (2023)
- [Making Large Language Models Perform Better in Knowledge Graph Completion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06671/) (2023)
- [OceanGPT: A Large Language Model for Ocean Science Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.02031/) (2023)
- [Multi-Scale Adaptive Graph Neural Network for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.04828/) (2022)
- [UUKG: Unified Urban Knowledge Graph Dataset for Urban Spatiotemporal Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.11443/) (2023)
- [CausalFormer: An Interpretable Transformer for Temporal Causal Discovery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.16708/) (2024)
- [Physical Knowledge Enhanced Deep Neural Network for Sea Surface Temperature Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.09376/) (2023)
- [Spatial-Temporal Data Mining for Ocean Science: Data, Methodologies, and Opportunities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.10803/) (2023)
- [Pioneer: Physics-informed Riemannian Graph ODE for Entropy-increasing Dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.03236/) (2025)
- [FathomGPT: A Natural Language Interface for Interactively Exploring Ocean Science Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.02784/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [Glocal Information Bottleneck for Time Series Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.04910/) (2025)
- [Node Role-Guided LLMs for Dynamic Graph Clustering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.13799/) (2026)
- [AdaMamba: Adaptive Frequency-Gated Mamba for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.23239/) (2026)
- [CHAIN: Calibrated LLM Forecasting via Causal-Temporal Hypergraph Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.36689/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Sea surface temperature (SST) prediction is a critical task in ocean science, supporting various applications, such as weather forecasting, fisheries management, and storm tracking. While existing data-driven methods have demonstrated significant success, they often neglect to leverage the rich domain knowledge accumulated over the past decades, limiting further advancements in prediction accuracy. The recent emergence of large language models (LLMs) has highlighted the potential of integrating domain knowledge for downstream tasks. However, the application of LLMs to SST prediction remains underexplored, primarily due to the challenge of integrating ocean domain knowledge and numerical data. To address this issue, we propose Ocean Knowledge Graph-enhanced LLM (OKG-LLM), a novel framework for global SST prediction. To the best of our knowledge, this work presents the first systematic effort to construct an Ocean Knowledge Graph (OKG) specifically designed to represent diverse ocean knowledge for SST prediction. We then develop a graph embedding network to learn the comprehensive semantic and structural knowledge within the OKG, capturing both the unique characteristics of individual sea regions and the complex correlations between them. Finally, we align and fuse the learned knowledge with fine-grained numerical SST data and leverage a pre-trained LLM to model SST patterns for accurate prediction. Extensive experiments on the real-world dataset demonstrate that OKG-LLM consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods, showcasing its effectiveness, robustness, and potential to advance SST prediction. The codes are available in the online repository.
