# A Supervised Machine Learning Framework for Multipactor Breakdown Prediction in High-Power Radio Frequency Devices and Accelerator Components: A Case Study in Planar Geometry

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.17881 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.17881/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 6 of its 63 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 23 Jul 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 6 of 6)

- [Invariant Risk Minimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.02893/) (2019)
- [In Search of Lost Domain Generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.01434/) (2020)
- [Learning Collective Variables with Synthetic Data Augmentation through Physics-Inspired Geodesic Interpolation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.01542/) (2024)
- [Cheetah: Bridging the Gap Between Machine Learning and Particle Accelerator Physics with High-Speed, Differentiable Simulations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.05815/) (2024)
- [Interpolation for Robust Learning: Data Augmentation on Wasserstein Geodesics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.02092/) (2023)
- [Optimal Transport-Based Displacement Interpolation with Data Augmentation for Reduced Order Modeling of Nonlinear Dynamical Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.08750/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Multipactor is a nonlinear electron avalanche phenomenon that can severely impair the performance of high-power radio frequency (RF) devices and accelerator systems. Accurate prediction of multipactor susceptibility across different materials and operational regimes remains a critical yet computationally intensive challenge in accelerator component design and RF engineering. This study presents the first application of supervised machine learning (ML) for predicting multipactor susceptibility in two-surface planar geometries. A simulation-derived dataset spanning six distinct secondary electron yield (SEY) material profiles is used to train regression models - including Random Forest (RF), Extra Trees (ET), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and funnel-structured Multilayer Perceptrons (MLPs) - to predict the time-averaged electron growth rate, δavg. Performance is evaluated using Intersection over Union (IoU), Structural Similarity Index (SSIM), and Pearson correlation coefficient. Tree-based models consistently outperform MLPs in generalizing across disjoint material domains. MLPs trained using a scalarized objective function that combines IoU and SSIM during Bayesian hyperparameter optimization with 5-fold cross-validation outperform those trained with single-objective loss functions. Principal Component Analysis reveals that performance degradation for certain materials stems from disjoint feature-space distributions, underscoring the need for broader dataset coverage. This study demonstrates both the promise and limitations of ML-based multipactor prediction and lays the groundwork for accelerated, data-driven modeling in advanced RF and accelerator system design.