# Causal Graph Fuzzy LLMs: A First Introduction and Applications in Time Series Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.17016 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.17016/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 30 of its 38 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 22 Jul 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 30)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.04805/) (2018)
- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [GPT-4 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08774/) (2023)
- [LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.13971/) (2023)
- [RoBERTa: A Robustly Optimized BERT Pretraining Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.11692/) (2019)
- [DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.12948/) (2025)
- [PaLM: Scaling Language Modeling with Pathways](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.02311/) (2022)
- [Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.15556/) (2022)
- [LaMDA: Language Models for Dialog Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.08239/) (2022)
- [Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.07815/) (2024)
- [Time-LLM: Time Series Forecasting by Reprogramming Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.01728/) (2023)
- [Large Language Models Are Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.07820/) (2023)
- [Detecting causal associations in large nonlinear time series datasets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.07007/) (2017)
- [TEMPO: Prompt-based Generative Pre-trained Transformer for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.04948/) (2023)
- [PromptCast: A New Prompt-based Learning Paradigm for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.08964/) (2022)
- [UniTime: A Language-Empowered Unified Model for Cross-Domain Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.09751/) (2023)
- [Can ChatGPT Forecast Stock Price Movements? Return Predictability and Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.07619/) (2023)
- [Tiny Time Mixers (TTMs): Fast Pre-trained Models for Enhanced Zero/Few-Shot Forecasting of Multivariate Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.03955/) (2024)
- [Large Language Models are Few-Shot Health Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.15525/) (2023)
- [Where Would I Go Next? Large Language Models as Human Mobility Predictors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.15197/) (2023)
- [Spatial-Temporal Large Language Model for Traffic Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.10134/) (2024)
- [Temporal Data Meets LLM -- Explainable Financial Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.11025/) (2023)
- [Empowering Time Series Analysis with Large Language Models: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.03182/) (2024)
- [Leveraging Language Foundation Models for Human Mobility Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.05479/) (2022)
- [A Comprehensive Survey of Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: Architectural Diversity and Open Challenges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.05793/) (2024)
- [Language Models Can Improve Event Prediction by Few-Shot Abductive Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.16646/) (2023)
- [Towards Time Series Reasoning with LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.11376/) (2024)
- [How Can Time Series Analysis Benefit From Multiple Modalities? A Survey and Outlook](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.11835/) (2025)
- [S2IP-LLM: Semantic Space Informed Prompt Learning with LLM for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.05798/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Causality by Abstraction: Symbolic Rule Learning in Multivariate Timeseries with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.17829/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

In recent years, the application of Large Language Models (LLMs) to time series forecasting (TSF) has garnered significant attention among researchers. This study presents a new frame of LLMs named CGF-LLM using GPT-2 combined with fuzzy time series (FTS) and causal graph to predict multivariate time series, marking the first such architecture in the literature. The key objective is to convert numerical time series into interpretable forms through the parallel application of fuzzification and causal analysis, enabling both semantic understanding and structural insight as input for the pretrained GPT-2 model. The resulting textual representation offers a more interpretable view of the complex dynamics underlying the original time series. The reported results confirm the effectiveness of our proposed LLM-based time series forecasting model, as demonstrated across four different multivariate time series datasets. This initiative paves promising future directions in the domain of TSF using LLMs based on FTS.
