# Am I on the Right Track? What Can Predicted Query Performance Tell Us about the Search Behaviour of Agentic RAG

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.10411 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.10411/

## Key facts

- Cited by 5 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Knowledge- and tool-augmented reasoning, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning.
- Builds on 21 of its 49 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 14 Jul 2025.

## Placed in

- LLM reasoning / [Knowledge- and tool-augmented reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/lr/knowledge-and-tool-augmented-reasoning/)
- Retrieval-augmented generation / [Agentic RAG, agents and memory](https://mlsanity.com/rag/agentic-rag-agents-and-memory/)
- LLM agents and tool use / [Web, search, and research agents](https://mlsanity.com/agents/web-search-and-research-agents/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 21 of 21)

- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [The Llama 3 Herd of Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.21783/) (2024)
- [HotpotQA: A Dataset for Diverse, Explainable Multi-hop Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.09600/) (2018)
- [Lost in the Middle: How Language Models Use Long Contexts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.03172/) (2023)
- [Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Large Language Models: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.10997/) (2023)
- [Search-R1: Training LLMs to Reason and Leverage Search Engines with Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.09516/) (2025)
- [Constructing A Multi-hop QA Dataset for Comprehensive Evaluation of Reasoning Steps](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.01060/) (2020)
- [Text Embeddings by Weakly-Supervised Contrastive Pre-training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.03533/) (2022)
- [Leveraging Passage Retrieval with Generative Models for Open Domain Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.01282/) (2020)
- [Interleaving Retrieval with Chain-of-Thought Reasoning for Knowledge-Intensive Multi-Step Questions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.10509/) (2022)
- [Document Ranking with a Pretrained Sequence-to-Sequence Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.06713/) (2020)
- [The Power of Noise: Redefining Retrieval for RAG Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.14887/) (2024)
- [Agentic Retrieval-Augmented Generation: A Survey on Agentic RAG](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.09136/) (2025)
- [Retrieval Augmented Code Generation and Summarization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.11601/) (2021)
- [On the Origin of Hallucinations in Conversational Models: Is it the Datasets or the Models?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.07931/) (2022)
- [RAT: Retrieval Augmented Thoughts Elicit Context-Aware Reasoning in Long-Horizon Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.05313/) (2024)
- [Query Performance Prediction: From Ad-hoc to Conversational Search](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.10923/) (2023)
- [REAPER: Reasoning based Retrieval Planning for Complex RAG Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.18553/) (2024)
- [KiRAG: Knowledge-Driven Iterative Retriever for Enhancing Retrieval-Augmented Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.18397/) (2025)
- [Is Relevance Propagated from Retriever to Generator in RAG?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.15025/) (2025)
- [Constructing and Evaluating Declarative RAG Pipelines in PyTerrier](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.10802/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 5 of 5)

- [Predicting Retrieval Utility and Answer Quality in Retrieval-Augmented Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.14546/) (2026)
- [RAGShaper: Eliciting Sophisticated Agentic RAG Skills via Automated Data Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.08699/) (2026)
- [A Picture of Agentic Search](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.17518/) (2026)
- [Can QPP Choose the Right Query Variant? Evaluating Query Variant Selection for RAG Pipelines](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.22661/) (2026)
- [Predicting Partial Answer Quality and Utility in Agentic Retrieval-Augmented Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.16453/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Agentic Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) is a new paradigm where the reasoning model decides when to invoke a retriever (as a "tool") when answering a question. This paradigm, exemplified by recent research works such as Search-R1, enables the model to decide when to search and obtain external information. However, the queries generated by such Agentic RAG models and the role of the retriever in obtaining high-quality answers remain understudied. To this end, this initial study examines the applicability of query performance prediction (QPP) within the recent Agentic RAG models Search-R1 and R1-Searcher. We find that applying effective retrievers can achieve higher answer quality within a shorter reasoning process. Moreover, the QPP estimates of the generated queries, used as an approximation of their retrieval quality, are positively correlated with the quality of the final answer. Ultimately, our work is a step towards adaptive retrieval within Agentic RAG, where QPP is used to inform the model if the retrieved results are likely to be useful.