# Rethinking Spatio-Temporal Anomaly Detection: A Vision for Causality-Driven Cybersecurity

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.08177 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.08177/

## Key facts

- Cited by 7 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 12 of its 36 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Jul 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [Anomaly Transformer: Time Series Anomaly Detection with Association Discrepancy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.02642/) (2021)
- [Graph Neural Network-Based Anomaly Detection in Multivariate Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.06947/) (2021)
- [Towards Causal Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.11107/) (2021)
- [A Deep Neural Network for Unsupervised Anomaly Detection and Diagnosis in Multivariate Time Series Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.08055/) (2018)
- [Masked Gradient-Based Causal Structure Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.08527/) (2019)
- [Causal Sufficiency and Actual Causation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.02311/) (2021)
- [Collective Anomaly Detection based on Long Short Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.09752/) (2017)
- [Identifiable Causal Representation Learning: Unsupervised, Multi-View, and Multi-Environment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.13371/) (2024)
- [Causality from Bottom to Top: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.11219/) (2024)
- [Causal-discovery-based root-cause analysis and its application in time-series prediction error diagnosis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.06990/) (2024)
- [Interpretable Neural Causal Models with TRAM-DAGs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.16206/) (2025)
- [Which bits went where? Past and future transfer entropy decomposition with the information bottleneck](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.04992/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 7 of 7)

- [Incremental Causal Graph Learning for Online Cyberattack Detection in Cyber-Physical Infrastructures](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.14387/) (2025)
- [DELTA: Variational Disentangled Learning for Privacy-Preserving Data Reprogramming](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.00693/) (2025)
- [Security Considerations for Multi-agent Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.09002/) (2026)
- [Causally-Guided Diffusion for Stable Feature Selection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.20930/) (2026)
- [Causal Graph Profiling via Structural Divergence for Robust Anomaly Detection in Cyber-Physical Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.09504/) (2025)
- [Causal Transfer in Medical Image Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.24388/) (2026)
- [Vision: Data-Centric Anchoring for Robust and Interpretable Agentic AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.08216/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

As cyber-physical systems grow increasingly interconnected and spatially distributed, ensuring their resilience against evolving cyberattacks has become a critical priority. Spatio-Temporal Anomaly detection plays an important role in ensuring system security and operational integrity. However, current data-driven approaches, largely driven by black-box deep learning, face challenges in interpretability, adaptability to distribution shifts, and robustness under evolving system dynamics. In this paper, we advocate for a causal learning perspective to advance anomaly detection in spatially distributed infrastructures that grounds detection in structural cause-effect relationships. We identify and formalize three key directions: causal graph profiling, multi-view fusion, and continual causal graph learning, each offering distinct advantages in uncovering dynamic cause-effect structures across time and space. Drawing on real-world insights from systems such as water treatment infrastructures, we illustrate how causal models provide early warning signals and root cause attribution, addressing the limitations of black-box detectors. Looking ahead, we outline the future research agenda centered on multi-modality, generative AI-driven, and scalable adaptive causal frameworks. Our objective is to lay a new research trajectory toward scalable, adaptive, explainable, and spatially grounded anomaly detection systems. We hope to inspire a paradigm shift in cybersecurity research, promoting causality-driven approaches to address evolving threats in interconnected infrastructures.
