# Semantic Certainty Assessment in Vector Retrieval Systems: A Novel Framework for Embedding Quality Evaluation

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.05933 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.05933/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 19 of its 32 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 8 Jul 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 19 of 19)

- [Sentence-BERT: Sentence Embeddings using Siamese BERT-Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.10084/) (2019)
- [On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04599/) (2017)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [Dense Passage Retrieval for Open-Domain Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.04906/) (2020)
- [Billion-scale similarity search with GPUs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.08734/) (2017)
- [Can You Trust Your Model's Uncertainty? Evaluating Predictive Uncertainty Under Dataset Shift](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.02530/) (2019)
- [BEIR: A Heterogenous Benchmark for Zero-shot Evaluation of Information Retrieval Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.08663/) (2021)
- [ColBERT: Efficient and Effective Passage Search via Contextualized Late Interaction over BERT](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.12832/) (2020)
- [Approximate Nearest Neighbor Negative Contrastive Learning for Dense Text Retrieval](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.00808/) (2020)
- [How Contextual are Contextualized Word Representations? Comparing the Geometry of BERT, ELMo, and GPT-2 Embeddings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.00512/) (2019)
- [Pre-trained Models for Natural Language Processing: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.08271/) (2020)
- [ColBERTv2: Effective and Efficient Retrieval via Lightweight Late Interaction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.01488/) (2021)
- [Sparse, Dense, and Attentional Representations for Text Retrieval](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.00181/) (2020)
- [Improving Efficient Neural Ranking Models with Cross-Architecture Knowledge Distillation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.02666/) (2020)
- [Learning Dense Representations for Entity Retrieval](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.10506/) (2019)
- [A Primer on Neural Network Models for Natural Language Processing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1510.00726/) (2015)
- [Neural Ranking Models with Weak Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.08803/) (2017)
- [Problems With Evaluation of Word Embeddings Using Word Similarity Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1605.02276/) (2016)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Finder: A Multimodal AI-Powered Search Framework for Pharmaceutical Data Retrieval](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.15623/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Vector retrieval systems exhibit significant performance variance across queries due to heterogeneous embedding quality. We propose a lightweight framework for predicting retrieval performance at the query level by combining quantization robustness and neighborhood density metrics. Our approach is motivated by the observation that high-quality embeddings occupy geometrically stable regions in the embedding space and exhibit consistent neighborhood structures. We evaluate our method on 4 standard retrieval datasets, showing consistent improvements of 9.4±1.2% in Recall@10 over competitive baselines. The framework requires minimal computational overhead (less than 5% of retrieval time) and enables adaptive retrieval strategies. Our analysis reveals systematic patterns in embedding quality across different query types, providing insights for targeted training data augmentation.