# Potemkin Understanding in Large Language Models

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.21521 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.21521/

## Key facts

- Cited by 15 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 50 of its 65 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 26 Jun 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 50)

- [Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.03300/) (2020)
- ["Why Should I Trust You?": Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifier](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.04938/) (2016)
- [TruthfulQA: Measuring How Models Mimic Human Falsehoods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.07958/) (2021)
- [Locating and Editing Factual Associations in GPT](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.05262/) (2022)
- [Shortcut Learning in Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.07780/) (2020)
- [Language Models as Knowledge Bases?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.01066/) (2019)
- [A large annotated corpus for learning natural language inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1508.05326/) (2015)
- [Large Language Models Encode Clinical Knowledge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.13138/) (2022)
- [Do ImageNet Classifiers Generalize to ImageNet?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.10811/) (2019)
- [Datasheets for Datasets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.09010/) (2018)
- [What Disease does this Patient Have? A Large-scale Open Domain Question Answering Dataset from Medical Exams](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.13081/) (2020)
- [Transformer Feed-Forward Layers Are Key-Value Memories](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.14913/) (2020)
- [Chatbot Arena: An Open Platform for Evaluating LLMs by Human Preference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.04132/) (2024)
- [Measuring and Narrowing the Compositionality Gap in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.03350/) (2022)
- [Beyond Accuracy: Behavioral Testing of NLP models with CheckList](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.04118/) (2020)
- [Large Language Models Can Be Easily Distracted by Irrelevant Context](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.00093/) (2023)
- [WildChat: 1M ChatGPT Interaction Logs in the Wild](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.01470/) (2024)
- [Transformer Feed-Forward Layers Build Predictions by Promoting Concepts in the Vocabulary Space](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.14680/) (2022)
- [Dissecting Recall of Factual Associations in Auto-Regressive Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.14767/) (2023)
- [Fast Model Editing at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.11309/) (2021)
- [Dynabench: Rethinking Benchmarking in NLP](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.14337/) (2021)
- [The Reversal Curse: LLMs trained on "A is B" fail to learn "B is A"](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.12288/) (2023)
- [Unmasking Clever Hans Predictors and Assessing What Machines Really Learn](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.10178/) (2019)
- [Measuring and Improving Consistency in Pretrained Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.01017/) (2021)
- [AI and the Everything in the Whole Wide World Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.15366/) (2021)
- [On the Planning Abilities of Large Language Models : A Critical Investigation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.15771/) (2023)
- [Synthetic and Natural Noise Both Break Neural Machine Translation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.02173/) (2017)
- [Adversarial Example Generation with Syntactically Controlled Paraphrase Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.06059/) (2018)
- [Data and its (dis)contents: A survey of dataset development and use in machine learning research](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.05345/) (2020)
- [Modifying Memories in Transformer Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.00363/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 15 of 15)

- [This human study did not involve human subjects: Validating LLM simulations as behavioral evidence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.15785/) (2026)
- [Cognitive Foundations for Reasoning and Their Manifestation in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.16660/) (2025)
- [The Serial Scaling Hypothesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.12549/) (2025)
- [The wall confronting large language models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.19703/) (2025)
- [Do Bias Benchmarks Generalise? Evidence from Voice-based Evaluation of Gender Bias in SpeechLLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.01254/) (2025)
- [Do explanations generalize across large reasoning models?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.11517/) (2026)
- [Clause-Internal or Clause-External? Testing Turkish Reflexive Binding in Adapted versus Chain of Thought Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.00380/) (2026)
- [Position: AI Evaluations Should be Grounded on a Theory of Capability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.19590/) (2025)
- [PotARCin: Multi-Dimensional Evaluation of Skill Acquisition in Abstract Reasoning Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.27288/) (2026)
- [Interpolative Decoding: Exploring the Spectrum of Personality Traits in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.19937/) (2025)
- [A paradox of AI fluency](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.25905/) (2026)
- [The Consistency Dilemma in LLMs: Generator-Evaluator Agreement and Vulnerability to Mistakes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.30653/) (2026)
- [A Polyphonic Conception of AI Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.36079/) (2026)
- [Reputation, Strategy, and Emotion Effects on Generative AI Cooperation: A Comparison Across Reasoning and Non-Reasoning Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.01222/) (2026)
- [Mind the Spatial Gap: A Benchmark for Geospatial Reasoning and Constrained Spatial Editing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.12881/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models (LLMs) are regularly evaluated using benchmark datasets. But what justifies making inferences about an LLM's capabilities based on its answers to a curated set of questions? This paper first introduces a formal framework to address this question. The key is to note that the benchmarks used to test LLMs -- such as AP exams -- are also those used to test people. However, this raises an implication: these benchmarks are only valid tests if LLMs misunderstand concepts in ways that mirror human misunderstandings. Otherwise, success on benchmarks only demonstrates potemkin understanding: the illusion of understanding driven by answers irreconcilable with how any human would interpret a concept. We present two procedures for quantifying the existence of potemkins: one using a specially designed benchmark in three domains, the other using a general procedure that provides a lower-bound on their prevalence. We find that potemkins are ubiquitous across models, tasks, and domains. We also find that these failures reflect not just incorrect understanding, but deeper internal incoherence in concept representations.
