# Consensus-Driven Uncertainty for Robotic Grasping based on RGB Perception

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.20045 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.20045/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 36 of its 54 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 24 Jun 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 36)

- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [On the Continuity of Rotation Representations in Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.07035/) (2018)
- [PoseCNN: A Convolutional Neural Network for 6D Object Pose Estimation in Cluttered Scenes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.00199/) (2017)
- [FoundationPose: Unified 6D Pose Estimation and Tracking of Novel Objects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.08344/) (2023)
- [PVNet: Pixel-wise Voting Network for 6DoF Pose Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.11788/) (2018)
- [DexYCB: A Benchmark for Capturing Hand Grasping of Objects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.04631/) (2021)
- [BOP: Benchmark for 6D Object Pose Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1808.08319/) (2018)
- [Deep Object Pose Estimation for Semantic Robotic Grasping of Household Objects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.10790/) (2018)
- [BB8: A Scalable, Accurate, Robust to Partial Occlusion Method for Predicting the 3D Poses of Challenging Objects without Using Depth](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.10896/) (2017)
- [Pix2Pose: Pixel-Wise Coordinate Regression of Objects for 6D Pose Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.07433/) (2019)
- [Contact-GraspNet: Efficient 6-DoF Grasp Generation in Cluttered Scenes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.14127/) (2021)
- [Real-Time Seamless Single Shot 6D Object Pose Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.08848/) (2017)
- [BOP Challenge 2020 on 6D Object Localization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.07378/) (2020)
- [Implicit 3D Orientation Learning for 6D Object Detection from RGB Images](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.01275/) (2019)
- [EPOS: Estimating 6D Pose of Objects with Symmetries](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.00605/) (2020)
- [SE(3)-DiffusionFields: Learning smooth cost functions for joint grasp and motion optimization through diffusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.03855/) (2022)
- [SAM-6D: Segment Anything Model Meets Zero-Shot 6D Object Pose Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.15707/) (2023)
- [ZebraPose: Coarse to Fine Surface Encoding for 6DoF Object Pose Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.09418/) (2022)
- [GigaPose: Fast and Robust Novel Object Pose Estimation via One Correspondence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.14155/) (2023)
- [Self-supervised 6D Object Pose Estimation for Robot Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.10159/) (2019)
- [SurfEmb: Dense and Continuous Correspondence Distributions for Object Pose Estimation with Learnt Surface Embeddings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.13489/) (2021)
- [BOP Challenge 2022 on Detection, Segmentation and Pose Estimation of Specific Rigid Objects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.13075/) (2023)
- [Implicit-PDF: Non-Parametric Representation of Probability Distributions on the Rotation Manifold](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.05965/) (2021)
- [GenPose: Generative Category-level Object Pose Estimation via Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.10531/) (2023)
- [Hardware as Policy: Mechanical and Computational Co-Optimization using Deep Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.04460/) (2020)
- [Deep Learning on Monocular Object Pose Detection and Tracking: A Comprehensive Overview](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.14291/) (2021)
- [Neural Grasp Distance Fields for Robot Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.02647/) (2022)
- [Neural Correspondence Field for Object Pose Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.00113/) (2022)
- [Challenges for Monocular 6D Object Pose Estimation in Robotics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.12172/) (2023)
- [A Review on Object Pose Recovery: from 3D Bounding Box Detectors to Full 6D Pose Estimators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.10609/) (2020)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Deep object pose estimators are notoriously overconfident. A grasping agent that both estimates the 6-DoF pose of a target object and predicts the uncertainty of its own estimate could avoid task failure by choosing not to act under high uncertainty. Even though object pose estimation improves and uncertainty quantification research continues to make strides, few studies have connected them to the downstream task of robotic grasping. We propose a method for training lightweight, deep networks to predict whether a grasp guided by an image-based pose estimate will succeed before that grasp is attempted. We generate training data for our networks via object pose estimation on real images and simulated grasping. We also find that, despite high object variability in grasping trials, networks benefit from training on all objects jointly, suggesting that a diverse variety of objects can nevertheless contribute to the same goal.