# LLM-Based Social Simulations Require a Boundary

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.19806 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.19806/

## Key facts

- Cited by 12 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 100 of its 192 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 24 Jun 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 100)

- [Generative Agents: Interactive Simulacra of Human Behavior](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.03442/) (2023)
- [MetaGPT: Meta Programming for A Multi-Agent Collaborative Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.00352/) (2023)
- [AgentBench: Evaluating LLMs as Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.03688/) (2023)
- [ChatDev: Communicative Agents for Software Development](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.07924/) (2023)
- [Whose Opinions Do Language Models Reflect?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.17548/) (2023)
- [Out of One, Many: Using Language Models to Simulate Human Samples](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.06899/) (2022)
- [AgentVerse: Facilitating Multi-Agent Collaboration and Exploring Emergent Behaviors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.10848/) (2023)
- [Using Large Language Models to Simulate Multiple Humans and Replicate Human Subject Studies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.10264/) (2022)
- [Scaling Synthetic Data Creation with 1,000,000,000 Personas](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.20094/) (2024)
- [Trustworthy LLMs: a Survey and Guideline for Evaluating Large Language Models' Alignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.05374/) (2023)
- [SOTOPIA: Interactive Evaluation for Social Intelligence in Language Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.11667/) (2023)
- [Social Simulacra: Creating Populated Prototypes for Social Computing Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.04024/) (2022)
- [Large Language Models Empowered Agent-based Modeling and Simulation: A Survey and Perspectives](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.11970/) (2023)
- [Can Large Language Models Transform Computational Social Science?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.03514/) (2023)
- [LLM Agents Grounded in Self-Reports Enable General-Purpose Simulation of Individuals](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.10109/) (2024)
- [S3: Social-network Simulation System with Large Language Model-Empowered Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.14984/) (2023)
- [PromptRobust: Towards Evaluating the Robustness of Large Language Models on Adversarial Prompts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.04528/) (2023)
- [Exploring Collaboration Mechanisms for LLM Agents: A Social Psychology View](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.02124/) (2023)
- [Playing repeated games with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.16867/) (2023)
- [Do LLMs exhibit human-like response biases? A case study in survey design](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.04076/) (2023)
- [LLM Lies: Hallucinations are not Bugs, but Features as Adversarial Examples](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.01469/) (2023)
- [Personality Traits in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.00184/) (2023)
- [EconAgent: Large Language Model-Empowered Agents for Simulating Macroeconomic Activities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.10436/) (2023)
- [Simulating Opinion Dynamics with Networks of LLM-based Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.09618/) (2023)
- [War and Peace (WarAgent): Large Language Model-based Multi-Agent Simulation of World Wars](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.17227/) (2023)
- [Large language models that replace human participants can harmfully misportray and flatten identity groups](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.01908/) (2024)
- [User Behavior Simulation with Large Language Model based Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.02552/) (2023)
- [Watch-And-Help: A Challenge for Social Perception and Human-AI Collaboration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.09890/) (2020)
- [OASIS: Open Agent Social Interaction Simulations with One Million Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.11581/) (2024)
- [Simulating Classroom Education with LLM-Empowered Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.19226/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [Population-Aligned Persona Generation for LLM-based Social Simulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.10127/) (2025)
- [Exploring Silicon-Based Societies: An Early Study of the Moltbook Agent Community](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.02613/) (2026)
- [From the Fluency Fallacy to the Micro-to-Macro Validity Gap: Opportunities and Pitfalls of LLMs in Social Simulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.19364/) (2025)
- [Overstating Attitudes, Ignoring Networks: LLM Biases in Simulating Misinformation Susceptibility](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.04674/) (2026)
- [Restoring Heterogeneity in LLM-based Social Simulation: An Audience Segmentation Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.06663/) (2026)
- [The Emergence of Altruism in Large-Language-Model Agents Society](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.22537/) (2025)
- [Online Agent-as-a-Judge: Situation-Generating Evaluation for Interactive Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.08200/) (2026)
- [AgoraSim: A Hybrid Agent-Based Modeling Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.05999/) (2026)
- [Will Scaling Improve Social Simulation with LLMs?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.02464/) (2026)
- [Empirical Grounding Improves the Realism of LLM Agents Simulating Human Behavior During Disruptions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.17437/) (2026)
- [Benchmarking large language model agent societies against human behavioural distributions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.28182/) (2026)
- [From Caricature to Collective Artifact: How Persona Construction Drives Polarization in Generative Social Simulations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.16498/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

This position paper argues that LLM-based social simulations require clear boundaries to make meaningful contributions to social science. While Large Language Models (LLMs) offer promising capabilities for simulating human behavior, their tendency to produce homogeneous outputs, acting as an "average persona", fundamentally limits their ability to capture the behavioral diversity essential for complex social dynamics. We examine why heterogeneity matters for social simulations and how current LLMs fall short, analyzing the relationship between mean alignment and variance in LLM-generated behaviors. Through a systematic review of representative studies, we find that validation practices often fail to match the heterogeneity requirements of research questions: while most papers include ground truth comparisons, fewer than half explicitly assess behavioral variance, and most that do report lower variance than human populations. We propose that researchers should: (1) match validation depth to the heterogeneity demands of their research questions, (2) explicitly report variance alongside mean alignment, and (3) constrain claims to collective-level qualitative patterns when variance is insufficient. Rather than dismissing LLM-based simulation, we advocate for a boundary-aware approach that ensures these methods contribute genuine insights to social science.
