# Hidden Breakthroughs in Language Model Training

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.15872 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.15872/

## Key facts

- Cited by 15 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 30 of its 36 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 18 Jun 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 30)

- [In-context Learning and Induction Heads](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.11895/) (2022)
- [Progress measures for grokking via mechanistic interpretability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.05217/) (2023)
- [Linear Mode Connectivity and the Lottery Ticket Hypothesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.05671/) (2019)
- [Grokking: Generalization Beyond Overfitting on Small Algorithmic Datasets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.02177/) (2022)
- [Opening the Black Box of Deep Neural Networks via Information](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.00810/) (2017)
- [Gradient Descent on Neural Networks Typically Occurs at the Edge of Stability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.00065/) (2021)
- [Essentially No Barriers in Neural Network Energy Landscape](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.00885/) (2018)
- [Gradient Descent Happens in a Tiny Subspace](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.04754/) (2018)
- [A mathematical theory of semantic development in deep neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.10531/) (2018)
- [The Clock and the Pizza: Two Stories in Mechanistic Explanation of Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.17844/) (2023)
- [The Break-Even Point on Optimization Trajectories of Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.09572/) (2020)
- [Sudden Drops in the Loss: Syntax Acquisition, Phase Transitions, and Simplicity Bias in MLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.07311/) (2023)
- [Acquisition of Chess Knowledge in AlphaZero](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.09259/) (2021)
- [Skill-it! A Data-Driven Skills Framework for Understanding and Training Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.14430/) (2023)
- [A Theory for Emergence of Complex Skills in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.15936/) (2023)
- [Critical Learning Periods in Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.08856/) (2017)
- [The staircase property: How hierarchical structure can guide deep learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.10573/) (2021)
- [Linear Connectivity Reveals Generalization Strategies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.12411/) (2022)
- [Grokking of Hierarchical Structure in Vanilla Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.18741/) (2023)
- [Deep Learning is Singular, and That's Good](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.11560/) (2020)
- [Beyond the Quadratic Approximation: the Multiscale Structure of Neural Network Loss Landscapes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.11326/) (2022)
- [Differentiation and Specialization of Attention Heads via the Refined Local Learning Coefficient](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.02984/) (2024)
- [Does SGD really happen in tiny subspaces?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.16002/) (2024)
- [Neuron to Graph: Interpreting Language Model Neurons at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.19911/) (2023)
- [Outliers with Opposing Signals Have an Outsized Effect on Neural Network Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.04163/) (2023)
- [The Heuristic Core: Understanding Subnetwork Generalization in Pretrained Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.03942/) (2024)
- [Sometimes I am a Tree: Data Drives Unstable Hierarchical Generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.04619/) (2024)
- [LCA: Loss Change Allocation for Neural Network Training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.01440/) (2019)
- [Evaluation Beyond Task Performance: Analyzing Concepts in AlphaZero in Hex](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.14673/) (2022)
- [CoLA: Exploiting Compositional Structure for Automatic and Efficient Numerical Linear Algebra](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.03060/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 15 of 15)

- [What do Language Models Learn and When? The Implicit Curriculum Hypothesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.08510/) (2026)
- [Crosscoding Through Time: Tracking Emergence & Consolidation Of Linguistic Representations Throughout LLM Pretraining](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.05291/) (2025)
- [The Mechanistic Emergence of Symbol Grounding in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.13796/) (2025)
- [Decomposing Behavioral Phase Transitions in LLMs: Order Parameters for Emergent Misalignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.20015/) (2025)
- [Toward a Theory of Generalizability in LLM Mechanistic Interpretability Research](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.22831/) (2025)
- [In-Context Algebra](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.16902/) (2025)
- [From Density Matrices to Phase Transitions in Deep Learning: Spectral Early Warnings and Interpretability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.29805/) (2026)
- [Position: Don't Just "Fix it in Post": A Science of AI Must Study Training Dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.06533/) (2026)
- [Emergent Capabilities Arise Randomly from Learning Sparse Attention Patterns](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.25010/) (2026)
- [Disaggregation Reveals Hidden Training Dynamics: The Case of Agreement Attraction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.24934/) (2025)
- [Understanding the Emergence of Seemingly Useless Features in Next-Token Predictors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.14087/) (2026)
- [Mechanistic Foundations of Goal-Directed Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.15248/) (2026)
- [A Systematic Study of Behavioral Cloning for Scientific Data Annotation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.07568/) (2026)
- [Neural Dynamics as the Composition of Quantized Units](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.32487/) (2026)
- [Don't Forget! Decomposing the Training Dynamics of Memorization in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.34933/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Loss curves are smooth during most of model training, so visible discontinuities stand out as possible conceptual breakthroughs. Studying these breakthroughs enables a deeper understanding of learning dynamics, but only when they are properly identified. This paper argues that similar breakthroughs occur frequently throughout training but they are obscured by a loss metric that collapses all variation into a single scalar. To find these hidden transitions, we introduce POLCA, a method for decomposing changes in loss along arbitrary bases of the low-rank training subspace. We use our method to identify clusters of samples that share similar changes in loss during training, disaggregating the overall loss into that of smaller groups of conceptually similar data. We validate our method on synthetic arithmetic and natural language tasks, showing that POLCA recovers clusters that represent interpretable breakthroughs in the model's capabilities. We demonstrate the promise of these hidden phase transitions as a tool for unsupervised interpretability.
