# TimeMaster: Training Time-Series Multimodal LLMs to Reason via Reinforcement Learning

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.13705 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.13705/

## Key facts

- Cited by 18 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Time series reasoning, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning.
- Builds on 44 of its 55 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 16 Jun 2025.

## Placed in

- LLM reasoning / [Time series reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/lr/time-series-reasoning/)
- Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models / [Chart understanding and anomaly detection](https://mlsanity.com/mllm/chart-understanding-and-anomaly-detection/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 44)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [GPT-4 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08774/) (2023)
- [Training language models to follow instructions with human feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.02155/) (2022)
- [LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.13971/) (2023)
- [Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.11903/) (2022)
- [DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.03300/) (2024)
- [Judging LLM-as-a-Judge with MT-Bench and Chatbot Arena](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.05685/) (2023)
- [Direct Preference Optimization: Your Language Model is Secretly a Reward Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.18290/) (2023)
- [DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.12948/) (2025)
- [Qwen2.5-VL Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.13923/) (2025)
- [Qwen Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.16609/) (2023)
- [DAPO: An Open-Source LLM Reinforcement Learning System at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.14476/) (2025)
- [Learning to summarize from human feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.01325/) (2020)
- [Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.07436/) (2020)
- [Fine-Tuning Language Models from Human Preferences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.08593/) (2019)
- [A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.14730/) (2022)
- [Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.13008/) (2021)
- [Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.13504/) (2022)
- [FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.12740/) (2022)
- [Kimi k1.5: Scaling Reinforcement Learning with LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.12599/) (2025)
- [iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06625/) (2023)
- [Time-LLM: Time Series Forecasting by Reprogramming Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.01728/) (2023)
- [TEST: Text Prototype Aligned Embedding to Activate LLM's Ability for Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.08241/) (2023)
- [CALF: Aligning LLMs for Time Series Forecasting via Cross-modal Fine-Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.07300/) (2024)
- [TimeCMA: Towards LLM-Empowered Multivariate Time Series Forecasting via Cross-Modality Alignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.01638/) (2024)
- [ChatTS: Aligning Time Series with LLMs via Synthetic Data for Enhanced Understanding and Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.03104/) (2024)
- [From News to Forecast: Integrating Event Analysis in LLM-Based Time Series Forecasting with Reflection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.17515/) (2024)
- [Language Models Still Struggle to Zero-shot Reason about Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.11757/) (2024)
- [Time-MQA: Time Series Multi-Task Question Answering with Context Enhancement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.01875/) (2025)
- [TSLANet: Rethinking Transformers for Time Series Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.08472/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 18 of 18)

- [The Landscape of Agentic Reinforcement Learning for LLMs: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.02547/) (2025)
- [TimeOmni-1: Incentivizing Complex Reasoning with Time Series in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.24803/) (2025)
- [A Survey of Reasoning and Agentic Systems in Time Series with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.11575/) (2025)
- [Reinforcement Learning for Large Model: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.08189/) (2025)
- [STReasoner: Empowering LLMs for Spatio-Temporal Reasoning in Time Series via Spatial-Aware Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.03248/) (2026)
- [ARFBench: Benchmarking Time Series Question Answering Ability for Software Incident Response](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.21199/) (2026)
- [TelecomTS: A Multi-Modal Observability Dataset for Time Series and Language Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.06063/) (2025)
- [Adaptive Time Series Reasoning via Segment Selection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.18645/) (2026)
- [Time Series Reasoning via Process-Verifiable Thinking Data Synthesis and Scheduling for Tailored LLM Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.07830/) (2026)
- [Towards Interpretable and Trustworthy Time Series Reasoning: A BlueSky Vision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.16980/) (2025)
- [SenTSR-Bench: Thinking with Injected Knowledge for Time-Series Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.19455/) (2026)
- [Multi-Modal Time Series Prediction via Mixture of Modulated Experts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.21547/) (2026)
- [From Consistency to Complementarity: Aligned and Disentangled Multi-modal Learning for Time Series Understanding and Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.21436/) (2026)
- [NeuroCanvas: VLLM-Powered Robust Seizure Detection by Reformulating Multichannel EEG as Image](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.04769/) (2026)
- [AnomSeer: Reinforcing Multimodal LLMs to Reason for Time-Series Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.08868/) (2026)
- [LineupRL: Verifiable Reinforcement Learning for Time Series Captioning via Caption-to-Series Identification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.01800/) (2026)
- [Multimodal LLMs Can Learn to Read Brain Signals: A Vision--Language Model for Unified Multi-Task EEG Decoding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.09355/) (2026)
- [Retrieval-Augmented Multimodal Language Model with Heterogeneous Evidence Integration for Clinical Prognosis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.13510/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Time-series reasoning remains a significant challenge in multimodal large language models (MLLMs) due to the dynamic temporal patterns, ambiguous semantics, and lack of temporal priors. In this work, we introduce TimeMaster, a reinforcement learning (RL)-based method that enables time-series MLLMs to perform structured, interpretable reasoning directly over visualized time-series inputs and task prompts. TimeMaster adopts a three-part structured output format, reasoning, classification, and domain-specific extension, and is optimized via a composite reward function that aligns format adherence, prediction accuracy, and open-ended insight quality. The model is trained using a two-stage pipeline: we first apply supervised fine-tuning (SFT) to establish a good initialization, followed by Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) at the token level to enable stable and targeted reward-driven improvement in time-series reasoning. We evaluate TimeMaster on the TimerBed benchmark across six real-world classification tasks based on Qwen2.5-VL-3B-Instruct. TimeMaster achieves state-of-the-art performance, outperforming both classical time-series models and few-shot GPT-4o by over 14.6% and 7.3% performance gain, respectively. Notably, TimeMaster goes beyond time-series classification: it also exhibits expert-like reasoning behavior, generates context-aware explanations, and delivers domain-aligned insights. Our results highlight that reward-driven RL can be a scalable and promising path toward integrating temporal understanding into time-series MLLMs.
