# MoE-GPS: Guidlines for Prediction Strategy for Dynamic Expert Duplication in MoE Load Balancing

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.07366 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.07366/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Efficient MoE training and inference systems, one of 12 directions in Mixture-of-experts.
- Builds on 22 of its 36 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 9 Jun 2025.

## Placed in

- Mixture-of-experts / [Efficient MoE training and inference systems](https://mlsanity.com/moe/efficient-moe-training-and-inference-systems/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 22 of 22)

- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.13971/) (2023)
- [Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.03300/) (2020)
- [FlashAttention: Fast and Memory-Efficient Exact Attention with IO-Awareness](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.14135/) (2022)
- [Outrageously Large Neural Networks: The Sparsely-Gated Mixture-of-Experts Layer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1701.06538/) (2017)
- [Longformer: The Long-Document Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.05150/) (2020)
- [Switch Transformers: Scaling to Trillion Parameter Models with Simple and Efficient Sparsity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.03961/) (2021)
- [Megatron-LM: Training Multi-Billion Parameter Language Models Using Model Parallelism](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.08053/) (2019)
- [Mixtral of Experts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.04088/) (2024)
- [GLU Variants Improve Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.05202/) (2020)
- [GShard: Scaling Giant Models with Conditional Computation and Automatic Sharding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.16668/) (2020)
- [GQA: Training Generalized Multi-Query Transformer Models from Multi-Head Checkpoints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.13245/) (2023)
- [Length-Controlled AlpacaEval: A Simple Way to Debias Automatic Evaluators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.04475/) (2024)
- [DeepSpeed-MoE: Advancing Mixture-of-Experts Inference and Training to Power Next-Generation AI Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.05596/) (2022)
- [Auxiliary-Loss-Free Load Balancing Strategy for Mixture-of-Experts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.15664/) (2024)
- [LLaMA-MoE: Building Mixture-of-Experts from LLaMA with Continual Pre-training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.16554/) (2024)
- [FastMoE: A Fast Mixture-of-Expert Training System](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.13262/) (2021)
- [FlexMoE: Scaling Large-scale Sparse Pre-trained Model Training via Dynamic Device Placement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.03946/) (2023)
- [SiDA-MoE: Sparsity-Inspired Data-Aware Serving for Efficient and Scalable Large Mixture-of-Experts Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.18859/) (2023)
- [Towards MoE Deployment: Mitigating Inefficiencies in Mixture-of-Expert (MoE) Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.06182/) (2023)
- [TransMLA: Multi-Head Latent Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.07864/) (2025)
- [Prediction Is All MoE Needs: Expert Load Distribution Goes from Fluctuating to Stabilizing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.16914/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [Remoe: Towards Efficient and Low-Cost MoE Inference in Serverless Computing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.18674/) (2025)
- [CRAFT: Fine-Grained Cost-Aware Expert Replication For Efficient Mixture-of-Experts Serving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.28768/) (2026)
- [MoEless: Efficient MoE LLM Serving via Serverless Computing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.06350/) (2026)
- [Mixture of Raytraced Experts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.12419/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

In multi-GPU Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) network, experts are distributed across different GPUs, which creates load imbalance as each expert processes different number of tokens. Recent works improve MoE inference load balance by dynamically duplicating popular experts to more GPUs to process excessive tokens, which requires predicting the distribution before routing. In this paper, we discuss the tradeoff of prediction strategies, accuracies, overhead, and end-to-end system performance. We propose MoE-GPS, a framework that guides the selection of the optimal predictor design under various system configurations, by quantifying the performance impact to system-level model runtime. Specifically, we advocate for Distribution-Only Prediction, a prediction strategy that only predicts overall token distribution which significantly reduces overhead compared to the traditional Token-to-Expert Prediction. On Mixtral 8x7B MMLU dataset, MoE-GPS suggests Distribution-Only Prediction which improves end-to-end inference performance by more than 23% compared with Token-to-Expert Prediction.