# Multi-Metric Adaptive Experimental Design Under a Fixed Budget with Validation

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.03062 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.03062/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 67 of its 114 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 3 Jun 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 67)

- [On the Complexity of Best Arm Identification in Multi-Armed Bandit Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1407.4443/) (2014)
- [Optimal Best Arm Identification with Fixed Confidence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.04589/) (2016)
- [Bandits with Knapsacks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1305.2545/) (2013)
- [Solving a Class of Non-Convex Min-Max Games Using Iterative First Order Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.08297/) (2019)
- [Bayesian Optimization with Safety Constraints: Safe and Automatic Parameter Tuning in Robotics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.04450/) (2016)
- [Simple Bayesian Algorithms for Best Arm Identification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.08448/) (2016)
- [Bayesian Optimization with Unknown Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1403.5607/) (2014)
- [Stagewise Safe Bayesian Optimization with Gaussian Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07555/) (2018)
- [Safe Controller Optimization for Quadrotors with Gaussian Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1509.01066/) (2015)
- [Adaptive and Safe Bayesian Optimization in High Dimensions via One-Dimensional Subspaces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.03229/) (2019)
- [Stochastic Bandits with Linear Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.10185/) (2020)
- [Pure Exploration with Multiple Correct Answers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.03475/) (2019)
- [An optimal algorithm for the Thresholding Bandit Problem](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1605.08671/) (2016)
- [Safe Exploration for Interactive Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.13726/) (2019)
- [A General Framework for Constrained Bayesian Optimization using Information-based Search](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1511.09422/) (2015)
- [Truncated Variance Reduction: A Unified Approach to Bayesian Optimization and Level-Set Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.07379/) (2016)
- [The True Sample Complexity of Identifying Good Arms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.06594/) (2019)
- [Robust Optimization for Non-Convex Objectives](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.01047/) (2017)
- [Top Two Algorithms Revisited](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.05979/) (2022)
- [Good Arm Identification via Bandit Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.06360/) (2017)
- [An Efficient Pessimistic-Optimistic Algorithm for Stochastic Linear Bandits with General Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.05295/) (2021)
- [Nearly Instance Optimal Sample Complexity Bounds for Top-k Arm Selection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.03605/) (2017)
- [Best Arm Identification with Safety Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.12151/) (2021)
- [Revisiting Simple Regret: Fast Rates for Returning a Good Arm](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.16913/) (2022)
- [Semiparametric Efficient Inference in Adaptive Experiments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.18274/) (2023)
- [Ordered Preference Elicitation Strategies for Supporting Multi-Objective Decision Making](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.07606/) (2018)
- [A/B/n Testing with Control in the Presence of Subpopulations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.15573/) (2021)
- [Nearly Optimal Algorithms for Level Set Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.01768/) (2021)
- [Almost Optimal Variance-Constrained Best Arm Identification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.10142/) (2022)
- [Active Learning with Safety Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.11183/) (2022)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Designing Time Series Experiments in A/B Testing with Transformer Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.01853/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

A/B tests in online experiments face statistical power challenges when testing multiple candidates simultaneously, while adaptive experimental designs (AED) alone fall short in inferring experiment statistics such as the average treatment effect, especially with many metrics (e.g., revenue, safety) and heterogeneous variances. This paper proposes a fixed-budget multi-metric AED framework with a two-phase structure: an adaptive exploration phase to identify the best treatment, and a validation phase with an A/B test to verify the treatment's quality and infer statistics. We propose SHRVar, which generalizes sequential halving (SH) with a novel relative-variance-based sampling and an elimination strategy built on reward z values. It achieves a provable error probability that decreases exponentially, where the exponent H3 generalizes the complexity measure for SH and SHVar with homogeneous and heterogeneous variances, respectively. Numerical experiments demonstrate its performance and robustness.
