# Talent or Luck? Evaluating Attribution Bias in Large Language Models

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.22910 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.22910/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 25 of its 43 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 28 May 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 25 of 25)

- [A Survey on Bias and Fairness in Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.09635/) (2019)
- [Man is to Computer Programmer as Woman is to Homemaker? Debiasing Word Embeddings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1607.06520/) (2016)
- [StereoSet: Measuring stereotypical bias in pretrained language models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.09456/) (2020)
- [Semantics derived automatically from language corpora contain human-like biases](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1608.07187/) (2016)
- [CrowS-Pairs: A Challenge Dataset for Measuring Social Biases in Masked Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.00133/) (2020)
- [BBQ: A Hand-Built Bias Benchmark for Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.08193/) (2021)
- [Gender Bias in Coreference Resolution: Evaluation and Debiasing Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.06876/) (2018)
- [Null It Out: Guarding Protected Attributes by Iterative Nullspace Projection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.07667/) (2020)
- [Gender Bias in Coreference Resolution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.09301/) (2018)
- [Men Also Like Shopping: Reducing Gender Bias Amplification using Corpus-level Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.09457/) (2017)
- [Towards Understanding and Mitigating Social Biases in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.13219/) (2021)
- [Social Chemistry 101: Learning to Reason about Social and Moral Norms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.00620/) (2020)
- [Societal Biases in Language Generation: Progress and Challenges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.04054/) (2021)
- ["Kelly is a Warm Person, Joseph is a Role Model": Gender Biases in LLM-Generated Reference Letters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.09219/) (2023)
- [Large Pre-trained Language Models Contain Human-like Biases of What is Right and Wrong to Do](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.11790/) (2021)
- [Cognitive Bias in Decision-Making with LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.00811/) (2024)
- [It's All in the Name: Mitigating Gender Bias with Name-Based Counterfactual Data Substitution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.00871/) (2019)
- [On Measures of Biases and Harms in NLP](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.03362/) (2021)
- [Gender, Race, and Intersectional Bias in Resume Screening via Language Model Retrieval](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.20371/) (2024)
- [Prompting Techniques for Reducing Social Bias in LLMs through System 1 and System 2 Cognitive Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.17218/) (2024)
- [Explicit vs. Implicit: Investigating Social Bias in Large Language Models through Self-Reflection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.02295/) (2025)
- [Breaking Bias, Building Bridges: Evaluation and Mitigation of Social Biases in LLMs via Contact Hypothesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.02030/) (2024)
- [Cognitive Biases in Large Language Models: A Survey and Mitigation Experiments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.00323/) (2024)
- [Nichelle and Nancy: The Influence of Demographic Attributes and Tokenization Length on First Name Biases](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.16577/) (2023)
- [Evaluating Implicit Bias in Large Language Models by Attacking From a Psychometric Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.14023/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [Large Language Model Reasoning Failures](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.06176/) (2026)
- [Prefill Awareness in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.12747/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

When a student fails an exam, do we tend to blame their effort or the test's difficulty? Attribution, defined as how reasons are assigned to event outcomes, shapes perceptions, reinforces stereotypes, and influences decisions. Attribution Theory in social psychology explains how humans assign responsibility for events using implicit cognition, attributing causes to internal (e.g., effort, ability) or external (e.g., task difficulty, luck) factors. LLMs' attribution of event outcomes based on demographics carries important fairness implications. Most works exploring social biases in LLMs focus on surface-level associations or isolated stereotypes. This work proposes a cognitively grounded bias evaluation framework to identify how models' reasoning disparities channelize biases toward demographic groups.