# Military AI Needs Technically-Informed Regulation to Safeguard AI Research and its Applications

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.18371 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.18371/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 12 of its 122 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 23 May 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [Towards Understanding Sycophancy in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.13548/) (2023)
- [Superintelligent Agents Pose Catastrophic Risks: Can Scientist AI Offer a Safer Path?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.15657/) (2025)
- [Escalation Risks from Language Models in Military and Diplomatic Decision-Making](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.03408/) (2024)
- [Don't trust your eyes: on the (un)reliability of feature visualizations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.04719/) (2023)
- [On Large Language Models in National Security Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.03453/) (2024)
- [AI-Powered Autonomous Weapons Risk Geopolitical Instability and Threaten AI Research](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.01859/) (2024)
- [Brittle AI, Causal Confusion, and Bad Mental Models: Challenges and Successes in the XAI Program](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.05506/) (2021)
- [Estimating the Brittleness of AI: Safety Integrity Levels and the Need for Testing Out-Of-Distribution Performance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.00802/) (2020)
- [Critical Foreign Policy Decisions (CFPD)-Benchmark: Measuring Diplomatic Preferences in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.06263/) (2025)
- [STL: Surprisingly Tricky Logic (for System Validation)](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.17258/) (2023)
- [STL: Still Tricky Logic (for System Validation, Even When Showing Your Work)](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.02632/) (2024)
- [Out of the Loop Again: How Dangerous is Weaponizing Automated Nuclear Systems?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.00496/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [The Secret Agenda: LLMs Strategically Lie and Our Current Safety Tools Are Blind](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.20393/) (2025)
- [AI Researchers Must Help Lead Arms Control to Mitigate Military AI Risks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.11533/) (2026)
- [Reframing AI Loss of Control: What Control Is, How to Have It, How to Lose It](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.12442/) (2026)
- [An Investigation of the NeurIPS and ICML 2025 Position Tracks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.16894/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Military weapon systems and command-and-control infrastructure augmented by artificial intelligence (AI) have seen rapid development and deployment in recent years. However, the sociotechnical impacts of AI on combat systems, military decision-making, and the norms of warfare have been understudied. We focus on a specific subset of lethal autonomous weapon systems (LAWS) that use AI for targeting or battlefield decisions. We refer to this subset as AI-powered lethal autonomous weapon systems (AI-LAWS) and argue that they introduce novel risks -- including unanticipated escalation, poor reliability in unfamiliar environments, and erosion of human oversight -- all of which threaten both military effectiveness and the openness of AI research. These risks cannot be addressed by high-level policy alone; effective regulation must be grounded in the technical behavior of AI models. We argue that AI researchers must be involved throughout the regulatory lifecycle. Thus, we propose a clear, behavior-based definition of AI-LAWS -- systems that introduce unique risks through their use of modern AI -- as a foundation for technically grounded regulation, given that existing frameworks do not distinguish them from conventional LAWS. Using this definition, we propose several technically-informed policy directions and invite greater participation from the AI research community in military AI policy discussions.
