# When Do LLMs Admit Their Mistakes? Understanding The Role Of Model Belief In Retraction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.16170 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.16170/

## Key facts

- Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 56 of its 71 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 22 May 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 56)

- [Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.14168/) (2021)
- [Judging LLM-as-a-Judge with MT-Bench and Chatbot Arena](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.05685/) (2023)
- [Qwen2.5 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.15115/) (2024)
- [GLUE: A Multi-Task Benchmark and Analysis Platform for Natural Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.07461/) (2018)
- [SQuAD: 100,000+ Questions for Machine Comprehension of Text](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.05250/) (2016)
- [Self-Refine: Iterative Refinement with Self-Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.17651/) (2023)
- [TruthfulQA: Measuring How Models Mimic Human Falsehoods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.07958/) (2021)
- [TriviaQA: A Large Scale Distantly Supervised Challenge Dataset for Reading Comprehension](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.03551/) (2017)
- [Locating and Editing Factual Associations in GPT](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.05262/) (2022)
- [Character-level Convolutional Networks for Text Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1509.01626/) (2015)
- [Can a Suit of Armor Conduct Electricity? A New Dataset for Open Book Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.02789/) (2018)
- [Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.05221/) (2022)
- [LlamaFactory: Unified Efficient Fine-Tuning of 100+ Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.13372/) (2024)
- [Sparse Autoencoders Find Highly Interpretable Features in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.08600/) (2023)
- [s1: Simple test-time scaling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.19393/) (2025)
- [Representation Engineering: A Top-Down Approach to AI Transparency](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.01405/) (2023)
- [Inference-Time Intervention: Eliciting Truthful Answers from a Language Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03341/) (2023)
- [Refusal in Language Models Is Mediated by a Single Direction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.11717/) (2024)
- [Large Language Models Cannot Self-Correct Reasoning Yet](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.01798/) (2023)
- [Can LLMs Express Their Uncertainty? An Empirical Evaluation of Confidence Elicitation in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.13063/) (2023)
- [Semantic Uncertainty: Linguistic Invariances for Uncertainty Estimation in Natural Language Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.09664/) (2023)
- [Adversarial NLI: A New Benchmark for Natural Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.14599/) (2019)
- [Discovering Latent Knowledge in Language Models Without Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.03827/) (2022)
- [Crowdsourcing Multiple Choice Science Questions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.06209/) (2017)
- [The Geometry of Truth: Emergent Linear Structure in Large Language Model Representations of True/False Datasets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06824/) (2023)
- [Siren's Song in the AI Ocean: A Survey on Hallucination in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.01219/) (2023)
- [The Internal State of an LLM Knows When It's Lying](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.13734/) (2023)
- [Do NOT Think That Much for 2+3=? On the Overthinking of o1-Like LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.21187/) (2024)
- [Dissecting Recall of Factual Associations in Auto-Regressive Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.14767/) (2023)
- [Stop Overthinking: A Survey on Efficient Reasoning for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.16419/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 6 of 6)

- [Feedback Friction: LLMs Struggle to Fully Incorporate External Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.11930/) (2025)
- [Re-FORC: Adaptive Reward Prediction for Efficient Chain-of-Thought Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.02130/) (2025)
- [Why Do LLMs Struggle in Strategic Play? Broken Links Between Observations, Beliefs, and Actions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.00226/) (2026)
- [A Taxonomy of Cognitive Capability Gaps in Generative and Agentic AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.02553/) (2026)
- [When Do Models Admit They Are Wrong? Failure Disclosure Is Unstable Under Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.33220/) (2026)
- [Multi-agent discussion gains less when dissent is withheld](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.38324/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We study the internal mechanisms that govern when LLMs choose to retract wrong answers, i.e., spontaneously and immediately acknowledge errors in their previously generated false assertions. Using model-specific testbeds, we find that while LLMs are capable of retraction, they do so only rarely, even when they can recognize their mistakes when asked in a separate interaction. We identify a reliable predictor of retraction: the model's momentary belief, as measured by a linear probe on its internal representation. The probe is trained to predict the correctness of answers on external datasets unrelated to retraction, then applied to settings where models should retract. A model retracts only when it "believes" its answers to be incorrect during generation; these beliefs frequently diverge from models' parametric knowledge as measured by factoid questions. Steering experiments further demonstrate that model belief causally drives retraction. In particular, when the model believes its answer to be incorrect, this not only encourages the model to attempt further verification, but also alters attention dynamics to promote retraction. Finally, we show that supervised fine-tuning re-uses this existing mechanism linking belief with retraction, and primarily improves retraction performance by helping the model learn more accurate internal beliefs.