# Vectors from Larger Language Models Predict Human Reading Time and fMRI Data More Poorly when Dimensionality Expansion is Controlled

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.12196 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.12196/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 16 of its 53 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 18 May 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 16 of 16)

- [OPT: Open Pre-trained Transformer Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.01068/) (2022)
- [Pythia: A Suite for Analyzing Large Language Models Across Training and Scaling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.01373/) (2023)
- [GPT-NeoX-20B: An Open-Source Autoregressive Language Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.06745/) (2022)
- [Interpreting and improving natural-language processing (in machines) with natural language-processing (in the brain)](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.11833/) (2019)
- [Why Does Surprisal From Larger Transformer-Based Language Models Provide a Poorer Fit to Human Reading Times?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.12131/) (2022)
- [Scaling laws for language encoding models in fMRI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.11863/) (2023)
- [The Natural Stories Corpus](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1708.05763/) (2017)
- [Instruction-tuning Aligns LLMs to the Human Brain](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.00575/) (2023)
- [Frequency Explains the Inverse Correlation of Large Language Models' Size, Training Data Amount, and Surprisal's Fit to Reading Times](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.02255/) (2024)
- [The LLM Language Network: A Neuroscientific Approach for Identifying Causally Task-Relevant Units](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.02280/) (2024)
- [From Language to Cognition: How LLMs Outgrow the Human Language Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.01830/) (2025)
- [Large Language Models Are Human-Like Internally](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.01615/) (2025)
- [Evidence from fMRI Supports a Two-Phase Abstraction Process in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.05771/) (2024)
- [Large GPT-like Models are Bad Babies: A Closer Look at the Relationship between Linguistic Competence and Psycholinguistic Measures](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.04547/) (2023)
- [What Are Large Language Models Mapping to in the Brain? A Case Against Over-Reliance on Brain Scores](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.01538/) (2024)
- [fMRI predictors based on language models of increasing complexity recover brain left lateralization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.17992/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Brain-Language Model Alignment: Insights into the Platonic Hypothesis and Intermediate-Layer Advantage](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.17833/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The impressive linguistic abilities of large language models (LLMs) have recommended them as models of human sentence processing, with some conjecturing a positive 'quality-power' relationship, in which language models' (LMs') fit to psychometric data continues to improve as their ability to predict words in context increases. This is important because it might suggest that elements of LLM architecture reflect the architecture of the human sentence processing faculty, and that any inadequacies in predicting human reading time and brain imaging data may be attributed to insufficient model complexity, which recedes as larger models become available. But recent studies have shown this scaling inverts after a point, as LMs become excessively large and accurate, when information-theoretic surprisal is used as a predictor. Other studies propose the use of entire vectors from differently sized LLMs, still showing positive scaling, casting doubt on the value of surprisal as a predictor, but do not control for dimensionality expansion using untrained LLMs with more than 1.6B parameters. This study evaluates scaling of LLM vector predictors controlled using untrained LLMs with up to 66B parameters. Results show that inverse scaling obtains, and moreover the contribution of trained LMs over corresponding untrained LMs drops to zero at around a few billion parameters on most datasets.
