# MTRE: Multi-Token Reliability Estimation for Hallucination Detection in VLMs

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.11741 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.11741/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Hallucination mitigation in LVLMs, one of 16 directions in Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models.
- Builds on 25 of its 34 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 16 May 2025.

## Placed in

- Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models / [Hallucination mitigation in LVLMs](https://mlsanity.com/mllm/hallucination-mitigation-in-lvlms/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 25 of 25)

- [Sentence-BERT: Sentence Embeddings using Siamese BERT-Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.10084/) (2019)
- [On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04599/) (2017)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Improved Baselines with Visual Instruction Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.03744/) (2023)
- [SDXL: Improving Latent Diffusion Models for High-Resolution Image Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.01952/) (2023)
- [What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.04977/) (2017)
- [Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.05221/) (2022)
- [MathVista: Evaluating Mathematical Reasoning of Foundation Models in Visual Contexts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.02255/) (2023)
- [Semantic Uncertainty: Linguistic Invariances for Uncertainty Estimation in Natural Language Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.09664/) (2023)
- [LLaMA-Adapter V2: Parameter-Efficient Visual Instruction Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.15010/) (2023)
- [mPLUG-Owl2: Revolutionizing Multi-modal Large Language Model with Modality Collaboration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.04257/) (2023)
- [Language Models Represent Space and Time](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.02207/) (2023)
- [Visual-Language Prompt Tuning with Knowledge-guided Context Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.13283/) (2023)
- [LLMs Know More Than They Show: On the Intrinsic Representation of LLM Hallucinations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.02707/) (2024)
- [Shifting Attention to Relevance: Towards the Predictive Uncertainty Quantification of Free-Form Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.01379/) (2023)
- [Vision language models are blind: Failing to translate detailed visual features into words](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.06581/) (2024)
- [Conformal Prediction with Large Language Models for Multi-Choice Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.18404/) (2023)
- [MLLM-Protector: Ensuring MLLM's Safety without Hurting Performance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.02906/) (2024)
- [What Large Language Models Know and What People Think They Know](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.13835/) (2024)
- [DRESS: Instructing Large Vision-Language Models to Align and Interact with Humans via Natural Language Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.10081/) (2023)
- [Fine-tuning can cripple your foundation model; preserving features may be the solution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.13320/) (2023)
- [Looking for a Needle in a Haystack: A Comprehensive Study of Hallucinations in Neural Machine Translation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.05309/) (2022)
- [Improving Uncertainty Quantification in Large Language Models via Semantic Embeddings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.22685/) (2024)
- [Uncertainty-Aware Evaluation for Vision-Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.14418/) (2024)
- [The First to Know: How Token Distributions Reveal Hidden Knowledge in Large Vision-Language Models?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.09037/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [PARALLAX: Separating Genuine Hallucination Detection from Benchmark Construction Artifacts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.17028/) (2026)
- [Geometric Risk Control for Vision-Language Model OCR](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.19790/) (2026)
- [HalluScope: Fine-grained Hallucination Diagnosis for Multimodal Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.21105/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Vision-language models (VLMs) now rival human performance on many multimodal tasks, yet they still hallucinate objects or generate unsafe text. Current hallucination detectors, e.g., single-token linear probing (LP) and PTrue, typically analyze only the logit of the first generated token or just its highest-scoring component, overlooking richer signals embedded within earlier token distributions. We demonstrate that analyzing the complete sequence of early logits potentially provides substantially more diagnostic information. We emphasize that hallucinations may only emerge after several tokens, as subtle inconsistencies accumulate over time. By analyzing the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between logits corresponding to hallucinated and non-hallucinated tokens, we underscore the importance of incorporating later-token logits to more accurately capture the reliability dynamics of VLMs. In response, we introduce Multi-Token Reliability Estimation (MTRE), a lightweight, white-box method that aggregates logits from the first ten tokens using multi-token log-likelihood ratios and self-attention. Despite the challenges posed by large vocabulary sizes and long logit sequences, MTRE remains efficient and tractable. Across MAD-Bench, MM-SafetyBench, MathVista, and four compositional-geometry benchmarks, MTRE achieves a 9.4% gain in accuracy and a 14.8% gain in AUROC over standard detection methods, establishing a new state of the art in hallucination detection for open-source VLMs.