# Automated Real-time Assessment of Intracranial Hemorrhage Detection AI Using an Ensembled Monitoring Model (EMM)

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.11738 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.11738/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 29 of its 59 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 16 May 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 29 of 29)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [ImageNet Large Scale Visual Recognition Challenge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.0575/) (2014)
- [Densely Connected Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1608.06993/) (2016)
- [A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07874/) (2017)
- [XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting System](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.02754/) (2016)
- [On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04599/) (2017)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [Quo Vadis, Action Recognition? A New Model and the Kinetics Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07750/) (2017)
- [Aggregated Residual Transformations for Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.05431/) (2016)
- [A Survey of Uncertainty in Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03342/) (2021)
- [Predictive Uncertainty Estimation via Prior Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.10501/) (2018)
- [MONAI: An open-source framework for deep learning in healthcare](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.02701/) (2022)
- [Beyond temperature scaling: Obtaining well-calibrated multiclass probabilities with Dirichlet calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.12656/) (2019)
- [Verified Uncertainty Calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.10155/) (2019)
- [Adapted Large Language Models Can Outperform Medical Experts in Clinical Text Summarization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.07430/) (2023)
- [Confidence Calibration and Predictive Uncertainty Estimation for Deep Medical Image Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.13273/) (2019)
- [Multiplicative Normalizing Flows for Variational Bayesian Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.01961/) (2017)
- [Hyperparameter Ensembles for Robustness and Uncertainty Quantification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.13570/) (2020)
- [Merlin: A Computed Tomography Vision-Language Foundation Model and Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.06512/) (2024)
- [A Vision-Language Foundation Model to Enhance Efficiency of Chest X-ray Interpretation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.12208/) (2024)
- [Trustworthy clinical AI solutions: a unified review of uncertainty quantification in deep learning models for medical image analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.03736/) (2022)
- [Direct Uncertainty Prediction for Medical Second Opinions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.01771/) (2018)
- [AutoDEUQ: Automated Deep Ensemble with Uncertainty Quantification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.13511/) (2021)
- [Density estimation in representation space to predict model uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.07235/) (2019)
- [The state-of-the-art 3D anisotropic intracranial hemorrhage segmentation on non-contrast head CT: The INSTANCE challenge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.03281/) (2023)
- [Improving the repeatability of deep learning models with Monte Carlo dropout](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.07562/) (2022)
- [Voxels Intersecting along Orthogonal Levels Attention U-Net for Intracerebral Haemorrhage Segmentation in Head CT](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.06313/) (2022)
- [SUDO: a framework for evaluating clinical artificial intelligence systems without ground-truth annotations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.17011/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [Pillar-0: A New Frontier for Radiology Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.17803/) (2025)
- [A Multi-agent Large Language Model Framework to Automatically Assess Performance of a Clinical AI Triage Tool](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.26498/) (2025)
- [Improving Calibration of Black-Box Radiology AI Using Test-Time Augmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.29931/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Artificial intelligence (AI) tools for radiology are commonly unmonitored once deployed. The lack of real-time case-by-case assessments of AI prediction confidence requires users to independently distinguish between trustworthy and unreliable AI predictions, which increases cognitive burden, reduces productivity, and potentially leads to misdiagnoses. To address these challenges, we introduce Ensembled Monitoring Model (EMM), a framework inspired by clinical consensus practices using multiple expert reviews. Designed specifically for black-box commercial AI products, EMM operates independently without requiring access to internal AI components or intermediate outputs, while still providing robust confidence measurements. Using intracranial hemorrhage detection as our test case on a large, diverse dataset of 2919 studies, we demonstrate that EMM successfully categorizes confidence in the AI-generated prediction, suggesting different actions and helping improve the overall performance of AI tools to ultimately reduce cognitive burden. Importantly, we provide key technical considerations and best practices for successfully translating EMM into clinical settings.
