# QoSBERT: An Uncertainty-Aware Approach based on Pre-trained Language Models for Service Quality Prediction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.07863 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.07863/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 11 of its 53 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 9 May 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 11 of 11)

- [RoBERTa: A Robustly Optimized BERT Pretraining Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.11692/) (2019)
- [Qwen2.5 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.15115/) (2024)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Qwen2 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.10671/) (2024)
- [CodeBERT: A Pre-Trained Model for Programming and Natural Languages](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.08155/) (2020)
- [Neural Collaborative Filtering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1708.05031/) (2017)
- [CodeGen: An Open Large Language Model for Code with Multi-Turn Program Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.13474/) (2022)
- [CodeXGLUE: A Machine Learning Benchmark Dataset for Code Understanding and Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.04664/) (2021)
- [What's so special about BERT's layers? A closer look at the NLP pipeline in monolingual and multilingual models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.06499/) (2020)
- [Domain-Adaptive Pretraining Methods for Dialogue Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.13665/) (2021)
- [A Probability Distribution and Location-aware ResNet Approach for QoS Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.07780/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Federated Learning-Enabled Hybrid Language Models for Communication-Efficient Token Transmission](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.00082/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Accurate prediction of Quality of Service (QoS) metrics is fundamental for selecting and managing cloud based services. Traditional QoS models rely on manual feature engineering and yield only point estimates, offering no insight into the confidence of their predictions. In this paper, we propose QoSBERT, the first framework that reformulates QoS prediction as a semantic regression task based on pre trained language models. Unlike previous approaches relying on sparse numerical features, QoSBERT automatically encodes user service metadata into natural language descriptions, enabling deep semantic understanding. Furthermore, we integrate a Monte Carlo Dropout based uncertainty estimation module, allowing for trustworthy and risk-aware service quality prediction, which is crucial yet underexplored in existing QoS models. QoSBERT applies attentive pooling over contextualized embeddings and a lightweight multilayer perceptron regressor, fine tuned jointly to minimize absolute error. We further exploit the resulting uncertainty estimates to select high quality training samples, improving robustness in low resource settings. On standard QoS benchmark datasets, QoSBERT achieves an average reduction of 11.7% in MAE and 6.7% in RMSE for response time prediction, and 6.9% in MAE for throughput prediction compared to the strongest baselines, while providing well calibrated confidence intervals for robust and trustworthy service quality estimation. Our approach not only advances the accuracy of service quality prediction but also delivers reliable uncertainty quantification, paving the way for more trustworthy, data driven service selection and optimization.
