# Interpretable Event Diagnosis in Water Distribution Networks

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.07299 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.07299/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 13 of its 52 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 12 May 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 13 of 13)

- ["Why Should I Trust You?": Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifier](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.04938/) (2016)
- [Explanation in Artificial Intelligence: Insights from the Social Sciences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.07269/) (2017)
- [Counterfactual Explanations without Opening the Black Box: Automated Decisions and the GDPR](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.00399/) (2017)
- [A Survey Of Methods For Explaining Black Box Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.01933/) (2018)
- [Explaining Machine Learning Classifiers through Diverse Counterfactual Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.07697/) (2019)
- [FACE: Feasible and Actionable Counterfactual Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.09369/) (2019)
- [Interpretable Counterfactual Explanations Guided by Prototypes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.02584/) (2019)
- [Efficient Search for Diverse Coherent Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.04909/) (2019)
- [Beyond Trivial Counterfactual Explanations with Diverse Valuable Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.10226/) (2021)
- [Convex Density Constraints for Computing Plausible Counterfactual Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.04862/) (2020)
- [Physics-Informed Graph Neural Networks for Water Distribution Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.18570/) (2024)
- [One Explanation to Rule them All -- Ensemble Consistent Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.08974/) (2022)
- [Convex optimization for actionable & plausible counterfactual explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.07630/) (2021)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The increasing penetration of information and communication technologies in the design, monitoring, and control of water systems enables the use of algorithms for detecting and identifying unanticipated events (such as leakages or water contamination) using sensor measurements. However, data-driven methodologies do not always give accurate results and are often not trusted by operators, who may prefer to use their engineering judgment and experience to deal with such events. In this work, we propose a framework for interpretable event diagnosis -- an approach that assists the operators in associating the results of algorithmic event diagnosis methodologies with their own intuition and experience. This is achieved by providing contrasting (i.e., counterfactual) explanations of the results provided by fault diagnosis algorithms; their aim is to improve the understanding of the algorithm's inner workings by the operators, thus enabling them to take a more informed decision by combining the results with their personal experiences. Specifically, we propose counterfactual event fingerprints, a representation of the difference between the current event diagnosis and the closest alternative explanation, which can be presented in a graphical way. The proposed methodology is applied and evaluated on a realistic use case using the L-Town benchmark.