# Boundary-Guided Trajectory Prediction for Road Aware and Physically Feasible Autonomous Driving

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.06740 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.06740/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 26 of its 32 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 May 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 26 of 26)

- [PointNet: Deep Learning on Point Sets for 3D Classification and Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.00593/) (2016)
- [Scalability in Perception for Autonomous Driving: Waymo Open Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.04838/) (2019)
- [Argoverse 2: Next Generation Datasets for Self-Driving Perception and Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.00493/) (2023)
- [Large Scale Interactive Motion Forecasting for Autonomous Driving : The Waymo Open Motion Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.10133/) (2021)
- [VectorNet: Encoding HD Maps and Agent Dynamics from Vectorized Representation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.04259/) (2020)
- [NuPlan: A closed-loop ML-based planning benchmark for autonomous vehicles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.11810/) (2021)
- [Learning Lane Graph Representations for Motion Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.13732/) (2020)
- [TNT: Target-driveN Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.08294/) (2020)
- [Multimodal Trajectory Predictions for Autonomous Driving using Deep Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.10732/) (2018)
- [Motion Transformer with Global Intention Localization and Local Movement Refinement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.13508/) (2022)
- [CoverNet: Multimodal Behavior Prediction using Trajectory Sets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.10298/) (2019)
- [Human Motion Trajectory Prediction: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.06113/) (2019)
- [MTR++: Multi-Agent Motion Prediction with Symmetric Scene Modeling and Guided Intention Querying](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.17770/) (2023)
- [HDGT: Heterogeneous Driving Graph Transformer for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction via Scene Encoding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.09753/) (2022)
- [SafetyNet: Safe planning for real-world self-driving vehicles using machine-learned policies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.13602/) (2021)
- [Learning to Predict Vehicle Trajectories with Model-based Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.04027/) (2021)
- [Vehicle trajectory prediction works, but not everywhere](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.03909/) (2021)
- [Real-Time Motion Prediction via Heterogeneous Polyline Transformer with Relative Pose Encoding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.12970/) (2023)
- [Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction in Pedestrian-Vehicle Mixed Environments: A Systematic Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.06419/) (2023)
- [Holistic Graph-based Motion Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.13545/) (2023)
- [Stay on Track: A Frenet Wrapper to Overcome Off-road Trajectories in Vehicle Motion Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.00605/) (2023)
- [Self-Supervised Action-Space Prediction for Automated Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.10024/) (2021)
- [Physically Feasible Vehicle Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.14679/) (2021)
- [An Empirical Bayes Analysis of Object Trajectory Representation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.01696/) (2022)
- [KI-PMF: Knowledge Integrated Plausible Motion Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.12007/) (2023)
- [MixNet: Structured Deep Neural Motion Prediction for Autonomous Racing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.01862/) (2022)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Accurate prediction of surrounding road users' trajectories is essential for safe and efficient autonomous driving. While deep learning models have improved performance, challenges remain in preventing off-road predictions and ensuring kinematic feasibility. Existing methods incorporate road-awareness modules and enforce kinematic constraints but lack plausibility guarantees and often introduce trade-offs in complexity and flexibility. This paper proposes a novel framework that formulates trajectory prediction as a constrained regression guided by permissible driving directions and their boundaries. Using the agent's current state and an HD map, our approach defines the valid boundaries and ensures on-road predictions by training the network to learn superimposed paths between left and right boundary polylines. To guarantee feasibility, the model predicts acceleration profiles that determine the vehicle's travel distance along these paths while adhering to kinematic constraints. We evaluate our approach on the Argoverse-2 dataset against the HPTR baseline. Our approach shows a slight decrease in benchmark metrics compared to HPTR but notably improves final displacement error and eliminates infeasible trajectories. Moreover, the proposed approach has superior generalization to less prevalent maneuvers and unseen out-of-distribution scenarios, reducing the off-road rate under adversarial attacks from 66% to just 1%. These results highlight the effectiveness of our approach in generating feasible and robust predictions.