# BOOM: Benchmarking Out-Of-distribution Molecular Property Predictions of Machine Learning Models

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.01912 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.01912/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 34 of its 64 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 3 May 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 34)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.04805/) (2018)
- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [GPT-4 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08774/) (2023)
- [The Llama 3 Herd of Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.21783/) (2024)
- [Exploring the Limits of Transfer Learning with a Unified Text-to-Text Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.10683/) (2019)
- [RoBERTa: A Robustly Optimized BERT Pretraining Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.11692/) (2019)
- [RoFormer: Enhanced Transformer with Rotary Position Embedding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.09864/) (2021)
- [XLNet: Generalized Autoregressive Pretraining for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.08237/) (2019)
- [Shortcut Learning in Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.07780/) (2020)
- [GLU Variants Improve Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.05202/) (2020)
- [MoleculeNet: A Benchmark for Molecular Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.00564/) (2017)
- [E(n) Equivariant Graph Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.09844/) (2021)
- [A Review of Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Learning: Techniques, Applications and Challenges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.06225/) (2020)
- [A Primer in BERTology: What we know about how BERT works](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.12327/) (2020)
- [Smarter, Better, Faster, Longer: A Modern Bidirectional Encoder for Fast, Memory Efficient, and Long Context Finetuning and Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.13663/) (2024)
- [Towards Open Set Deep Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1511.06233/) (2015)
- [MACE: Higher Order Equivariant Message Passing Neural Networks for Fast and Accurate Force Fields](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.07697/) (2022)
- [Towards Out-Of-Distribution Generalization: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.13624/) (2021)
- [Analyzing Learned Molecular Representations for Property Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.01561/) (2019)
- [ChemBERTa: Large-Scale Self-Supervised Pretraining for Molecular Property Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.09885/) (2020)
- [OpenOOD: Benchmarking Generalized Out-of-Distribution Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.07242/) (2022)
- [Invariance Principle Meets Information Bottleneck for Out-of-Distribution Generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.06607/) (2021)
- [Large-Scale Chemical Language Representations Capture Molecular Structure and Properties](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.09553/) (2021)
- [TorchMD-NET: Equivariant Transformers for Neural Network based Molecular Potentials](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.02541/) (2022)
- [A Unified Survey on Anomaly, Novelty, Open-Set, and Out-of-Distribution Detection: Solutions and Future Challenges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.14051/) (2021)
- [OrbNet: Deep Learning for Quantum Chemistry Using Symmetry-Adapted Atomic-Orbital Features](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.08026/) (2020)
- [Regression Transformer: Concurrent sequence regression and generation for molecular language modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.01338/) (2022)
- [Evaluation of the MACE Force Field Architecture: from Medicinal Chemistry to Materials Science](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.14247/) (2023)
- [Optimizing OOD Detection in Molecular Graphs: A Novel Approach with Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.15625/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [Improving the accuracy and generalizability of molecular property regression models with a substructure-substitution-rule-informed framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.08314/) (2025)
- [Multi-objective fluorescent molecule design with a data-physics dual-driven generative framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.13564/) (2026)
- [S1-Omni: A Unified Multimodal Reasoning Model for Scientific Understanding, Prediction, and Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.15686/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Data-driven molecular discovery leverages artificial intelligence/machine learning (AI/ML) and generative modeling to filter and design novel molecules. Discovering novel molecules requires accurate out-of-distribution (OOD) predictions, but ML models struggle to generalize OOD. Currently, no systematic benchmarks exist for molecular OOD prediction tasks. We present BOOM, benchmarks for out-of-distribution molecular property predictions: a chemically-informed benchmark for OOD performance on common molecular property prediction tasks. We evaluate over 150 model-task combinations to benchmark deep learning models on OOD performance. Overall, we find that no existing model achieves strong generalization across all tasks: even the top-performing model exhibited an average OOD error 3x higher than in-distribution. Current chemical foundation models do not show strong OOD extrapolation, while models with high inductive bias can perform well on OOD tasks with simple, specific properties. We perform extensive ablation experiments, highlighting how data generation, pre-training, hyperparameter optimization, model architecture, and molecular representation impact OOD performance. Developing models with strong OOD generalization is a new frontier challenge in chemical ML. This open-source benchmark is available at https://github.com/FLASK-LLNL/BOOM
