# Visual Trajectory Prediction of Vessels for Inland Navigation

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.00599 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.00599/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 19 of its 41 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 1 May 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 19 of 19)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Microsoft COCO: Common Objects in Context](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1405.0312/) (2014)
- [Faster R-CNN: Towards Real-Time Object Detection with Region Proposal Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.01497/) (2015)
- [End-to-End Object Detection with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.12872/) (2020)
- [YOLOv3: An Incremental Improvement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.02767/) (2018)
- [Simple Online and Realtime Tracking with a Deep Association Metric](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.07402/) (2017)
- [ByteTrack: Multi-Object Tracking by Associating Every Detection Box](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.06864/) (2021)
- [Score-CAM: Score-Weighted Visual Explanations for Convolutional Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.01279/) (2019)
- [Object Detection with Deep Learning: A Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.05511/) (2018)
- [Deep Learning for Generic Object Detection: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.02165/) (2018)
- [BoT-SORT: Robust Associations Multi-Pedestrian Tracking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.14651/) (2022)
- [FastReID: A Pytorch Toolbox for General Instance Re-identification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.02631/) (2020)
- [A Comprehensive Review of YOLO Architectures in Computer Vision: From YOLOv1 to YOLOv8 and YOLO-NAS](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.00501/) (2023)
- [Deep OC-SORT: Multi-Pedestrian Tracking by Adaptive Re-Identification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.11813/) (2023)
- [Deep Learning in Video Multi-Object Tracking: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.12740/) (2019)
- [A Survey of Modern Deep Learning based Object Detection Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.11892/) (2021)
- [Few-Shot Object Detection: A Comprehensive Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.11699/) (2021)
- [Semi-supervised Object Detection: A Survey on Recent Research and Progress](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.14106/) (2023)
- [An Outlook on the Future Marine Traffic Management System for Autonomous Ships](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.04140/) (2022)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The future of inland navigation increasingly relies on autonomous systems and remote operations, emphasizing the need for accurate vessel trajectory prediction. This study addresses the challenges of video-based vessel tracking and prediction by integrating advanced object detection methods, Kalman filters, and spline-based interpolation. However, existing detection systems often misclassify objects in inland waterways due to complex surroundings. A comparative evaluation of tracking algorithms, including BoT-SORT, Deep OC-SORT, and ByeTrack, highlights the robustness of the Kalman filter in providing smoothed trajectories. Experimental results from diverse scenarios demonstrate improved accuracy in predicting vessel movements, which is essential for collision avoidance and situational awareness. The findings underline the necessity of customized datasets and models for inland navigation. Future work will expand the datasets and incorporate vessel classification to refine predictions, supporting both autonomous systems and human operators in complex environments.
