# ADiff4TPP: Asynchronous Diffusion Models for Temporal Point Processes

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.20411 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.20411/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Flow matching, time series and science, one of 14 directions in Diffusion models.
- Builds on 40 of its 60 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 29 Apr 2025.

## Placed in

- Diffusion models / [Flow matching, time series and science](https://mlsanity.com/diffusion/flow-matching-time-series-and-science/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 40)

- [Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11239/) (2020)
- [High-Resolution Image Synthesis with Latent Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.10752/) (2021)
- [GPT-4 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08774/) (2023)
- [Score-Based Generative Modeling through Stochastic Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.13456/) (2020)
- [Scalable Diffusion Models with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.09748/) (2022)
- [Flow Matching for Generative Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.02747/) (2022)
- [Adding Conditional Control to Text-to-Image Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.05543/) (2023)
- [Scaling Rectified Flow Transformers for High-Resolution Image Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.03206/) (2024)
- [Neural Ordinary Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07366/) (2018)
- [Flow Straight and Fast: Learning to Generate and Transfer Data with Rectified Flow](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.03003/) (2022)
- [Elucidating the Design Space of Diffusion-Based Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.00364/) (2022)
- [Stable Video Diffusion: Scaling Latent Video Diffusion Models to Large Datasets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.15127/) (2023)
- [Video Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.03458/) (2022)
- [Imagen Video: High Definition Video Generation with Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.02303/) (2022)
- [Structured Denoising Diffusion Models in Discrete State-Spaces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03006/) (2021)
- [Diffusion Forcing: Next-token Prediction Meets Full-Sequence Diffusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.01392/) (2024)
- [Text2Video-Zero: Text-to-Image Diffusion Models are Zero-Shot Video Generators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.13439/) (2023)
- [FFJORD: Free-form Continuous Dynamics for Scalable Reversible Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.01367/) (2018)
- [Latte: Latent Diffusion Transformer for Video Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.03048/) (2024)
- [Fast High-Resolution Image Synthesis with Latent Adversarial Diffusion Distillation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.12015/) (2024)
- [Transformer Hawkes Process](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.09291/) (2020)
- [Time2Vec: Learning a Vector Representation of Time](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.05321/) (2019)
- [Mixed-Type Tabular Data Synthesis with Score-based Diffusion in Latent Space](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.09656/) (2023)
- [LayoutDM: Discrete Diffusion Model for Controllable Layout Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08137/) (2023)
- [Intensity-Free Learning of Temporal Point Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.12127/) (2019)
- [Improving the Training of Rectified Flows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.20320/) (2024)
- [Transformer Embeddings of Irregularly Spaced Events and Their Participants](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.00044/) (2021)
- [BeLFusion: Latent Diffusion for Behavior-Driven Human Motion Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.14304/) (2022)
- [EasyTPP: Towards Open Benchmarking Temporal Point Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.08097/) (2023)
- [HYPRO: A Hybridly Normalized Probabilistic Model for Long-Horizon Prediction of Event Sequences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.01753/) (2022)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [ReDiTT: Retrieval Augmented Conditional Diffusion Transformers for Asynchronous Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.12391/) (2026)
- [Realism VS Accuracy: Event Sequence Forecasting from a Generative Modeling Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.12586/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

This work introduces a novel approach to modeling temporal point processes using diffusion models with an asynchronous noise schedule. At each step of the diffusion process, the noise schedule injects noise of varying scales into different parts of the data. With a careful design of the noise schedules, earlier events are generated faster than later ones, thus providing stronger conditioning for forecasting the more distant future. We derive an objective to effectively train these models for a general family of noise schedules based on conditional flow matching. Our method models the joint distribution of the latent representations of events in a sequence and achieves state-of-the-art results in predicting both the next inter-event time and event type on benchmark datasets. Additionally, it flexibly accommodates varying lengths of observation and prediction windows in different forecasting settings by adjusting the starting and ending points of the generation process. Finally, our method shows superior performance in long-horizon prediction tasks, outperforming existing baseline methods.