# Revealing the empirical flexibility of gas units through deep clustering

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.16943 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.16943/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 5 of its 45 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 14 Apr 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 5 of 5)

- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [Man is to Computer Programmer as Woman is to Homemaker? Debiasing Word Embeddings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1607.06520/) (2016)
- [Joint Unsupervised Learning of Deep Representations and Image Clusters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1604.03628/) (2016)
- [A Comprehensive Survey on Deep Clustering: Taxonomy, Challenges, and Future Directions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.07579/) (2022)
- [Open Power System Data - Frictionless data for electricity system modelling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.10405/) (2018)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The flexibility of a power generation unit determines how quickly and often it can ramp up or down. In energy models, it depends on assumptions on the technical characteristics of the unit, such as its installed capacity or turbine technology. In this paper, we learn the empirical flexibility of gas units from their electricity generation, revealing how real-world limitations can lead to substantial differences between units with similar technical characteristics. Using a novel deep clustering approach, we transform 5 years (2019-2023) of unit-level hourly generation data for 49 German units from 100 MWp of installed capacity into low-dimensional embeddings. Our unsupervised approach identifies two clusters of peaker units (high flexibility) and two clusters of non-peaker units (low flexibility). The estimated ramp rates of non-peakers, which constitute half of the sample, display a low empirical flexibility, comparable to coal units. Non-peakers, predominantly owned by industry and municipal utilities, show limited response to low residual load and negative prices, generating on average 1.3 GWh during those hours. As the transition to renewables increases market variability, regulatory changes will be needed to unlock this flexibility potential.
