# Controlled Territory and Conflict Tracking (CONTACT): (Geo-)Mapping Occupied Territory from Open Source Intelligence

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.13730 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.13730/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 12 of its 25 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 18 Apr 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.04805/) (2018)
- [RoBERTa: A Robustly Optimized BERT Pretraining Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.11692/) (2019)
- [Sentence-BERT: Sentence Embeddings using Siamese BERT-Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.10084/) (2019)
- [The Power of Scale for Parameter-Efficient Prompt Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.08691/) (2021)
- [Know What You Don't Know: Unanswerable Questions for SQuAD](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.03822/) (2018)
- [Efficient Few-Shot Learning Without Prompts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.11055/) (2022)
- [GPT4GEO: How a Language Model Sees the World's Geography](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.00020/) (2023)
- [This Land is {Your, My} Land: Evaluating Geopolitical Biases in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.14610/) (2023)
- [COA-GPT: Generative Pre-trained Transformers for Accelerated Course of Action Development in Military Operations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.01786/) (2024)
- [SmartBook: AI-Assisted Situation Report Generation for Intelligence Analysts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.14337/) (2023)
- [The Role of Large Language Models in the Recognition of Territorial Sovereignty: An Analysis of the Construction of Legitimacy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.06030/) (2023)
- [Deep Active Learning for Data Mining from Conflict Text Corpora](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.01577/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Open-source intelligence provides a stream of unstructured textual data that can inform assessments of territorial control. We present CONTACT, a framework for territorial control prediction using large language models (LLMs) and minimal supervision. We evaluate two approaches: SetFit, an embedding-based few-shot classifier, and a prompt tuning method applied to BLOOMZ-560m, a multilingual generative LLM. Our model is trained on a small hand-labeled dataset of news articles covering ISIS activity in Syria and Iraq, using prompt-conditioned extraction of control-relevant signals such as military operations, casualties, and location references. We show that the BLOOMZ-based model outperforms the SetFit baseline, and that prompt-based supervision improves generalization in low-resource settings. CONTACT demonstrates that LLMs fine-tuned using few-shot methods can reduce annotation burdens and support structured inference from open-ended OSINT streams. Our code is available at https://github.com/PaulKMandal/CONTACT/.