# Possibility for Proactive Anomaly Detection

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.11623 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.11623/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 15 of its 27 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 15 Apr 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 15 of 15)

- [A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.14730/) (2022)
- [Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.13504/) (2022)
- [TimesNet: Temporal 2D-Variation Modeling for General Time Series Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.02186/) (2022)
- [CSDI: Conditional Score-based Diffusion Models for Probabilistic Time Series Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03502/) (2021)
- [Detecting Spacecraft Anomalies Using LSTMs and Nonparametric Dynamic Thresholding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.04431/) (2018)
- [Graph Neural Network-Based Anomaly Detection in Multivariate Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.06947/) (2021)
- [Flexible Diffusion Modeling of Long Videos](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.11495/) (2022)
- [Unsupervised Anomaly Detection via Variational Auto-Encoder for Seasonal KPIs in Web Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.03903/) (2018)
- [Multivariate Time-series Anomaly Detection via Graph Attention Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.02040/) (2020)
- [ECOD: Unsupervised Outlier Detection Using Empirical Cumulative Distribution Functions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.00382/) (2022)
- [Learning Graph Structures with Transformer for Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection in IoT](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.03466/) (2021)
- [Towards a Rigorous Evaluation of Time-series Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.05257/) (2021)
- [An Evaluation of Anomaly Detection and Diagnosis in Multivariate Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.11428/) (2021)
- [Deep Learning Generalization and the Convex Hull of Training Sets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.09849/) (2021)
- [Using Wavelets and Spectral Methods to Study Patterns in Image-Classification Datasets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.09879/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [RED-F: Reconstruction-Elimination based Dual-stream Contrastive Forecasting for Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.20044/) (2025)
- [Real-Time Proactive Anomaly Detection via Forward and Backward Forecast Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.11539/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Time-series anomaly detection, which detects errors and failures in a workflow, is one of the most important topics in real-world applications. The purpose of time-series anomaly detection is to reduce potential damages or losses. However, existing anomaly detection models detect anomalies through the error between the model output and the ground truth (observed) value, which makes them impractical. In this work, we present a textitproactive approach for time-series anomaly detection based on a time-series forecasting model specialized for anomaly detection and a data-driven anomaly detection model. Our proactive approach establishes an anomaly threshold from training data with a data-driven anomaly detection model, and anomalies are subsequently detected by identifying predicted values that exceed the anomaly threshold. In addition, we extensively evaluated the model using four anomaly detection benchmarks and analyzed both predictable and unpredictable anomalies. We attached the source code as supplementary material.
