# Beyond Glucose-Only Assessment: Advancing Nocturnal Hypoglycemia Prediction in Children with Type 1 Diabetes

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.09299 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.09299/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 5 of its 55 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 12 Apr 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 5 of 5)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Library](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01703/) (2019)
- [LSTM: A Search Space Odyssey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1503.04069/) (2015)
- [Imbalanced-learn: A Python Toolbox to Tackle the Curse of Imbalanced Datasets in Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.06570/) (2016)
- [A Close Look at Deep Learning with Small Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.12843/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [It's All in the Way You Say It: The Role of Information Representation in LLM-Based Glycemic-Event Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.08772/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The dead-in-bed syndrome describes the sudden and unexplained death of young individuals with Type 1 Diabetes (T1D) without prior long-term complications. One leading hypothesis attributes this phenomenon to nocturnal hypoglycemia (NH), a dangerous drop in blood glucose during sleep. This study aims to improve NH prediction in children with T1D by leveraging physiological data and machine learning (ML) techniques. We analyze an in-house dataset collected from 16 children with T1D, integrating physiological metrics from wearable sensors. We explore predictive performance through feature engineering, model selection, architectures, and oversampling. To address data limitations, we apply transfer learning from a publicly available adult dataset. Our results achieve an AUROC of 0.75 +- 0.21 on the in-house dataset, further improving to 0.78 +- 0.05 with transfer learning. This research moves beyond glucose-only predictions by incorporating physiological parameters, showcasing the potential of ML to enhance NH detection and improve clinical decision-making for pediatric diabetes management.
