# Network-wide Freeway Traffic Estimation Using Sparse Sensor Data: A Dirichlet Graph Auto-Encoder Approach

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.15845 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.15845/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 25 of its 70 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 20 Mar 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 25 of 25)

- [Semi-Supervised Classification with Graph Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.02907/) (2016)
- [Generative Adversarial Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.00667/) (2022)
- [Neural Message Passing for Quantum Chemistry](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.01212/) (2017)
- [Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.04875/) (2017)
- [Diffusion Improves Graph Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.05485/) (2019)
- [TimeMixer: Decomposable Multiscale Mixing for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.14616/) (2024)
- [Spatial-Temporal Identity: A Simple yet Effective Baseline for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.05233/) (2022)
- [Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks for Predictive Learning in Urban Computing: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.14483/) (2023)
- [Interpreting and Unifying Graph Neural Networks with An Optimization Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.11859/) (2021)
- [Dirichlet Energy Constrained Learning for Deep Graph Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.02392/) (2021)
- [Inductive Graph Neural Networks for Spatiotemporal Kriging](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.07527/) (2020)
- [On the Unreasonable Effectiveness of Feature propagation in Learning on Graphs with Missing Node Features](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.12128/) (2021)
- [Tensor Completion Algorithms in Big Data Analytics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.10105/) (2017)
- [DPM: A Novel Training Method for Physics-Informed Neural Networks in Extrapolation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.02681/) (2020)
- [A Physics-Informed Deep Learning Paradigm for Traffic State and Fundamental Diagram Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.03142/) (2021)
- [Spatial Aggregation and Temporal Convolution Networks for Real-time Kriging](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.12144/) (2021)
- [INCREASE: Inductive Graph Representation Learning for Spatio-Temporal Kriging](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.02738/) (2023)
- [Macroscopic Traffic Flow Modeling with Physics Regularized Gaussian Process: A New Insight into Machine Learning Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.02374/) (2020)
- [KITS: Inductive Spatio-Temporal Kriging with Increment Training Strategy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.02565/) (2023)
- [Correlating sparse sensing for large-scale traffic speed estimation: A Laplacian-enhanced low-rank tensor kriging approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.11780/) (2022)
- [Why Not to Use Zero Imputation? Correcting Sparsity Bias in Training Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.00150/) (2019)
- [Fourier neural operator for learning solutions to macroscopic traffic flow models: Application to the forward and inverse problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.07051/) (2023)
- [Towards better traffic volume estimation: Jointly addressing the underdetermination and nonequilibrium problems with correlation-adaptive GNNs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.05660/) (2023)
- [Knowledge-data fusion oriented traffic state estimation: A stochastic physics-informed deep learning approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.00644/) (2024)
- [MoGERNN: An Inductive Traffic Predictor for Unobserved Locations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.12281/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [Network-Wide Traffic Volume Estimation from Speed Profiles using a Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Network with Directed Spatial Attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.13758/) (2025)
- [Metropolis-Scale Resilient and Trustworthy Traffic Flow Inference Using Multi-Source Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.25004/) (2026)
- [Capacity-Aware Deep Learning for Generalizable Traffic Volume Estimation Across Links and Cities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.24056/) (2026)
- [Spatio-temporally complementary feature propagation on graphs for longitudinal AADT estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.29906/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Network-wide Traffic State Estimation (TSE), which aims to infer a complete image of network traffic states with sparsely deployed sensors, plays a vital role in intelligent transportation systems. With the development of data-driven methods, traffic dynamics modeling has advanced significantly. However, TSE poses fundamental challenges for data-driven approaches, since historical patterns cannot be learned locally at sensor-free segments. Although graph representation learning shows promise in estimating states at locations without sensors, existing methods typically handle unobserved locations by filling them with zeros, introducing bias to the sensitive graph message propagation. The recently proposed Dirichlet Energy-based Feature Propagation (DEFP) method achieves State-Of-The-Art (SOTA) performance in unobserved node classification by eliminating the need for zero-filling. However, applying it to TSE faces three key challenges: inability to handle directed traffic networks, strong assumptions in traffic spatial correlation modeling, and overlooking distinct propagation rules of different patterns (e.g., congestion and free flow). We propose DGAE, a novel inductive graph representation model that addresses these challenges through theoretically derived DEFP for Directed graph (DEFP4D), enhanced spatial representation learning via DEFP4D-guided latent space encoding, and physics-guided propagation mechanisms that separately handle congested and free-flow patterns. Experiments on three traffic datasets demonstrate that DGAE outperforms existing SOTA methods and exhibits strong cross-city transferability. Furthermore, DEFP4D can serve as a standalone lightweight solution, showing superior performance under extremely sparse sensor conditions. The code of this work is publicly available at: https://github.com/ZJU-TSELab/DGAE.
