# Flexible and Efficient Probabilistic PDE Solvers through Gaussian Markov Random Fields

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.08343 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.08343/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 15 of its 33 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 11 Mar 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 15 of 15)

- [Fourier Neural Operator for Parametric Partial Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.08895/) (2020)
- [Machine Learning of Linear Differential Equations using Gaussian Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1701.02440/) (2017)
- [Solving and Learning Nonlinear PDEs with Gaussian Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.12959/) (2021)
- [Weak baselines and reporting biases lead to overoptimism in machine learning for fluid-related partial differential equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.07218/) (2024)
- [Bayesian Probabilistic Numerical Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.03673/) (2017)
- [Physics-Informed Gaussian Process Regression Generalizes Linear PDE Solvers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.12474/) (2022)
- [Probabilistic Solutions To Ordinary Differential Equations As Non-Linear Bayesian Filtering: A New Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.03440/) (2018)
- [Probabilistic Numerical Methods for PDE-constrained Bayesian Inverse Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1701.04006/) (2017)
- [Bayesian Numerical Methods for Nonlinear Partial Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.12587/) (2021)
- [The SPDE approach for Gaussian and non-Gaussian fields: 10 years and still running](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.01084/) (2021)
- [Probabilistic Numerical Method of Lines for Time-Dependent Partial Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.11847/) (2021)
- [Efficient Covariance Approximations for Large Sparse Precision Matrices](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.08656/) (2017)
- [Gaussian Measures Conditioned on Nonlinear Observations: Consistency, MAP Estimators, and Simulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.13149/) (2024)
- [A diffusion-based spatio-temporal extension of Gaussian Mat'ern fields](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.04917/) (2020)
- [Scaling up Probabilistic PDE Simulators with Structured Volumetric Information](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.05020/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Scalable Bayesian Inference for Nonlinear Conservation Laws](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.31127/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Mechanistic knowledge about the physical world is virtually always expressed via partial differential equations (PDEs). Recently, there has been a surge of interest in probabilistic PDE solvers -- Bayesian statistical models mostly based on Gaussian process (GP) priors which seamlessly combine empirical measurements and mechanistic knowledge. As such, they quantify uncertainties arising from e.g. noisy or missing data, unknown PDE parameters or discretization error by design. Prior work has established connections to classical PDE solvers and provided solid theoretical guarantees. However, scaling such methods to large-scale problems remains a fundamental challenge primarily due to dense covariance matrices. Our approach addresses the scalability issues by leveraging the Markov property of many commonly used GP priors. It has been shown that such priors are solutions to stochastic PDEs (SPDEs) which when discretized allow for highly efficient GP regression through sparse linear algebra. In this work, we show how to leverage this prior class to make probabilistic PDE solvers practical, even for large-scale nonlinear PDEs, through greatly accelerated inference mechanisms. Additionally, our approach also allows for flexible and physically meaningful priors beyond what can be modeled with covariance functions. Experiments confirm substantial speedups and accelerated convergence of our physics-informed priors in nonlinear settings.
