# BotUmc: An Uncertainty-Aware Twitter Bot Detection with Multi-view Causal Inference

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.03775 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.03775/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 23 of its 36 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 4 Mar 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 23 of 23)

- [RoBERTa: A Robustly Optimized BERT Pretraining Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.11692/) (2019)
- [Graph Attention Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.10903/) (2017)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [Evidential Deep Learning to Quantify Classification Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.01768/) (2018)
- [A Simple Baseline for Bayesian Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.02476/) (2019)
- [Is ChatGPT a Good NLG Evaluator? A Preliminary Study](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.04048/) (2023)
- [Deep Evidential Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.02600/) (2019)
- [Debiasing Graph Neural Networks via Learning Disentangled Causal Substructure](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.14107/) (2022)
- [Variational Bayesian Last Layers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.11599/) (2024)
- [TwiBot-20: A Comprehensive Twitter Bot Detection Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.13088/) (2021)
- [The paradigm-shift of social spambots: Evidence, theories, and tools for the arms race](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1701.03017/) (2017)
- [A Decade of Social Bot Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.03604/) (2020)
- [TwiBot-22: Towards Graph-Based Twitter Bot Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.04564/) (2022)
- [Heterogeneity-aware Twitter Bot Detection with Relational Graph Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.02927/) (2021)
- [Deep Neural Networks for Bot Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.04289/) (2018)
- [Fame for sale: efficient detection of fake Twitter followers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1509.04098/) (2015)
- [Disinformation and Social Bot Operations in the Run Up to the 2017 French Presidential Election](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.00086/) (2017)
- [Twitter Bot Detection Using Bidirectional Long Short-term Memory Neural Networks and Word Embeddings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.01336/) (2020)
- [SATAR: A Self-supervised Approach to Twitter Account Representation Learning and its Application in Bot Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.13089/) (2021)
- [BotMoE: Twitter Bot Detection with Community-Aware Mixtures of Modal-Specific Experts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.06280/) (2023)
- [Self-Distribution Distillation: Efficient Uncertainty Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.08295/) (2022)
- [Graph-Hist: Graph Classification from Latent Feature Histograms With Application to Bot Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.01180/) (2019)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Social bots have become widely known by users of social platforms. To prevent social bots from spreading harmful speech, many novel bot detections are proposed. However, with the evolution of social bots, detection methods struggle to give high-confidence answers for samples. This motivates us to quantify the uncertainty of the outputs, informing the confidence of the results. Therefore, we propose an uncertainty-aware bot detection method to inform the confidence and use the uncertainty score to pick a high-confidence decision from multiple views of a social network under different environments. Specifically, our proposed BotUmc uses LLM to extract information from tweets. Then, we construct a graph based on the extracted information, the original user information, and the user relationship and generate multiple views of the graph by causal interference. Lastly, an uncertainty loss is used to force the model to quantify the uncertainty of results and select the result with low uncertainty in one view as the final decision. Extensive experiments show the superiority of our method.