# Global-Decision-Focused Neural ODEs for Proactive Grid Resilience Management

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.18321 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.18321/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 19 of its 63 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 25 Feb 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 19 of 19)

- [Neural Ordinary Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07366/) (2018)
- [OptNet: Differentiable Optimization as a Layer in Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.00443/) (2017)
- [Differentiable Convex Optimization Layers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.12430/) (2019)
- [Smart "Predict, then Optimize"](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.08005/) (2017)
- [Differentiation of Blackbox Combinatorial Solvers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.02175/) (2019)
- [Melding the Data-Decisions Pipeline: Decision-Focused Learning for Combinatorial Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.05504/) (2018)
- [End-to-End Constrained Optimization Learning: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.16378/) (2021)
- [Decision-Focused Learning: Foundations, State of the Art, Benchmark and Future Opportunities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.13565/) (2023)
- [Smart Predict-and-Optimize for Hard Combinatorial Optimization Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.10092/) (2019)
- [Deep Declarative Networks: A New Hope](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.04866/) (2019)
- [End to end learning and optimization on graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.13732/) (2019)
- [Causal Decision Making and Causal Effect Estimation Are Not the Same... and Why It Matters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.04103/) (2021)
- [Gen-DFL: Decision-Focused Generative Learning for Robust Decision Making](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.05468/) (2025)
- [Backpropagation of Unrolled Solvers with Folded Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.12047/) (2023)
- [Distributionally Robust Weighted k-Nearest Neighbors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.04004/) (2020)
- [Massively Digitized Power Grid: Opportunities and Challenges of Use-inspired AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.05180/) (2022)
- [Uncertainty-Aware Robust Learning on Noisy Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.08210/) (2023)
- [Learning To Solve Differential Equation Constrained Optimization Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.01786/) (2024)
- [Recurrent Neural Goodness-of-Fit Test for Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.13986/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [Enhancing Electricity-System Resilience with Adaptive Robust Optimization and Conformal Uncertainty Characterization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.11627/) (2025)
- [Conformalized Decision Risk Assessment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.13243/) (2025)
- [Learning Polyhedral Conformal Sets for Robust Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.08506/) (2026)
- [Learning to Test: Physics-Informed Representation for Dynamical Instability Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.10967/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Extreme hazard events such as wildfires and hurricanes increasingly threaten power systems, causing widespread outages and disrupting critical services. Recently, predict-then-optimize approaches have gained traction in grid operations, where system functionality forecasts are first generated and then used as inputs for downstream decision-making. However, this two-stage method often results in a misalignment between prediction and optimization objectives, leading to suboptimal resource allocation. To address this, we propose predict-all-then-optimize-globally (PATOG), a framework that integrates outage prediction with globally optimized interventions. At its core, our global-decision-focused (GDF) neural ODE model captures outage dynamics while optimizing resilience strategies in a decision-aware manner. Unlike conventional methods, our approach ensures spatially and temporally coherent decision-making, improving both predictive accuracy and operational efficiency. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate significant improvements in outage prediction consistency and grid resilience.
