# Satellite Observations Guided Diffusion Model for Accurate Meteorological States at Arbitrary Resolution

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.07814 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.07814/

## Key facts

- Cited by 9 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Flow matching, time series and science, one of 14 directions in Diffusion models.
- Builds on 26 of its 49 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 9 Feb 2025.

## Placed in

- Diffusion models / [Flow matching, time series and science](https://mlsanity.com/diffusion/flow-matching-time-series-and-science/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 26 of 26)

- [Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11239/) (2020)
- [Diffusion Models Beat GANs on Image Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.05233/) (2021)
- [Cascaded Diffusion Models for High Fidelity Image Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.15282/) (2021)
- [CCNet: Criss-Cross Attention for Semantic Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.11721/) (2018)
- [Zero-Shot Image Restoration Using Denoising Diffusion Null-Space Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.00490/) (2022)
- [FateZero: Fusing Attentions for Zero-shot Text-based Video Editing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.09535/) (2023)
- [SRDiff: Single Image Super-Resolution with Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.14951/) (2021)
- [Training-Free Structured Diffusion Guidance for Compositional Text-to-Image Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.05032/) (2022)
- [PULSE: Self-Supervised Photo Upsampling via Latent Space Exploration of Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.03808/) (2020)
- [Exploiting Deep Generative Prior for Versatile Image Restoration and Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.13659/) (2020)
- [Implicit Diffusion Models for Continuous Super-Resolution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.16491/) (2023)
- [Generative Diffusion Prior for Unified Image Restoration and Enhancement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.01247/) (2023)
- [Robust Reference-based Super-Resolution via C2-Matching](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.01863/) (2021)
- [Foundation Models for Weather and Climate Data Understanding: A Comprehensive Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.03014/) (2023)
- [SwinRDM: Integrate SwinRNN with Diffusion Model towards High-Resolution and High-Quality Weather Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03110/) (2023)
- [Unpaired Downscaling of Fluid Flows with Diffusion Bridges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.01822/) (2023)
- [AI Foundation Models for Weather and Climate: Applications, Design, and Implementation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.10808/) (2023)
- [Dynamical-generative downscaling of climate model ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.01776/) (2024)
- [Data driven weather forecasts trained and initialised directly from observations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.15586/) (2024)
- [Weather2K: A Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Benchmark Dataset for Meteorological Forecasting Based on Real-Time Observation Data from Ground Weather Stations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.10493/) (2023)
- [Conditional diffusion models for downscaling and bias correction of Earth system model precipitation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.14416/) (2024)
- [DeepPhysiNet: Bridging Deep Learning and Atmospheric Physics for Accurate and Continuous Weather Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.04125/) (2024)
- [MambaDS: Near-Surface Meteorological Field Downscaling with Topography Constrained Selective State Space Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.10854/) (2024)
- [Global atmospheric data assimilation with multi-modal masked autoencoders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.11696/) (2024)
- [Observation-Guided Meteorological Field Downscaling at Station Scale: A Benchmark and a New Method](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.11960/) (2024)
- [Machine Learning Framework for High-Resolution Air Temperature Downscaling Using LiDAR-Derived Urban Morphological Features](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.02120/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 9 of 9)

- [Probabilistic Machine Learning for Noisy Labels in Earth Observation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.03478/) (2025)
- [MODS: Multi-source Observations Conditional Diffusion Model for Meteorological State Downscaling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.14798/) (2025)
- [LangPrecip: Language-Aware Multimodal Precipitation Nowcasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.22317/) (2025)
- [ReconMOST: Multi-Layer Sea Temperature Reconstruction with Observations-Guided Diffusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.10391/) (2025)
- [AODDiff: Probabilistic Reconstruction of Aerosol Optical Depth via Diffusion-based Bayesian Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.24847/) (2025)
- [High-Resolution Climate Projections Using Diffusion-Based Downscaling of a Lightweight Climate Emulator](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.13416/) (2026)
- [Generative 3D Gaussian Splatting for Arbitrary-ResolutionAtmospheric Downscaling and Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.07928/) (2026)
- [Apeliotes: A Diffusion-Based Modeling Framework for km-scale Multi-Level Atmospheric Fields](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.17037/) (2026)
- [Learning Continuous Regional Temperature Fields with Lead-Time and Resolution Queries](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.25823/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Accurate acquisition of surface meteorological conditions at arbitrary locations holds significant importance for weather forecasting and climate simulation. Due to the fact that meteorological states derived from satellite observations are often provided in the form of low-resolution grid fields, the direct application of spatial interpolation to obtain meteorological states for specific locations often results in significant discrepancies when compared to actual observations. Existing downscaling methods for acquiring meteorological state information at higher resolutions commonly overlook the correlation with satellite observations. To bridge the gap, we propose Satellite-observations Guided Diffusion Model (SGD), a conditional diffusion model pre-trained on ERA5 reanalysis data with satellite observations (GridSat) as conditions, which is employed for sampling downscaled meteorological states through a zero-shot guided sampling strategy and patch-based methods. During the training process, we propose to fuse the information from GridSat satellite observations into ERA5 maps via the attention mechanism, enabling SGD to generate atmospheric states that align more accurately with actual conditions. In the sampling, we employed optimizable convolutional kernels to simulate the upscale process, thereby generating high-resolution ERA5 maps using low-resolution ERA5 maps as well as observations from weather stations as guidance. Moreover, our devised patch-based method promotes SGD to generate meteorological states at arbitrary resolutions. Experiments demonstrate SGD fulfills accurate meteorological states downscaling to 6.25km.
