# Stochastic MPC with Online-optimized Policies and Closed-loop Guarantees

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.06469 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.06469/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 10 Feb 2025.

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [Safety Beyond the Training Data: Robust Out-of-Distribution MPC via Conformalized System Level Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.12047/) (2026)
- [Safe Large-Scale Robust Nonlinear MPC in Milliseconds via Reachability-Constrained System Level Synthesis on the GPU](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.07644/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

This paper proposes a stochastic model predictive control method for linear systems affected by additive Gaussian disturbances that optimizes over disturbance feedback matrices online. Closed-loop satisfaction of probabilistic constraints and recursive feasibility of the underlying convex optimization problem is guaranteed. Optimization over feedback policies online increases performance and reduces conservatism compared to fixed-feedback approaches. The central mechanism is a finitely determined maximal admissible set for probabilistic constraints, together with the reconditioning of the predicted probabilistic constraints on the current knowledge at every time step. The proposed method's applicability is demonstrated on a building temperature control example.
