# What should an AI assessor optimise for?

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.00365 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.00365/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 17 of its 68 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 1 Feb 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 17 of 17)

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- [On the Opportunities and Risks of Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.07258/) (2021)
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- [Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.05221/) (2022)
- [Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty in Machine Learning: An Introduction to Concepts and Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.09457/) (2019)
- [BOLD: Dataset and Metrics for Measuring Biases in Open-Ended Language Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.11718/) (2021)
- [Hybrid LLM: Cost-Efficient and Quality-Aware Query Routing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.14618/) (2024)
- [RouterBench: A Benchmark for Multi-LLM Routing System](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.12031/) (2024)
- [Making Large Language Models Better Reasoners with Step-Aware Verifier](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.02336/) (2022)
- [Routing to the Expert: Efficient Reward-guided Ensemble of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.08692/) (2023)
- [Automated Algorithm Selection: Survey and Perspectives](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.11597/) (2018)
- [PMLB v1.0: An open source dataset collection for benchmarking machine learning methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.00058/) (2020)
- [Performance Metrics (Error Measures) in Machine Learning Regression, Forecasting and Prognostics: Properties and Typology](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.03006/) (2018)
- [100 instances is all you need: predicting the success of a new LLM on unseen data by testing on a few instances](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.03563/) (2024)
- [Robust Optimization for Deep Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1505.06606/) (2015)
- [Embedding Synthetic Off-Policy Experience for Autonomous Driving via Zero-Shot Curricula](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.01375/) (2022)
- [Predictable Artificial Intelligence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06167/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

An AI assessor is an external, ideally indepen-dent system that predicts an indicator, e.g., a loss value, of another AI system. Assessors can lever-age information from the test results of many other AI systems and have the flexibility of be-ing trained on any loss function or scoring rule: from squared error to toxicity metrics. Here we address the question: is it always optimal to train the assessor for the target metric? Or could it be better to train for a different metric and then map predictions back to the target metric? Us-ing twenty regression and classification problems with tabular data, we experimentally explore this question for, respectively, regression losses and classification scores with monotonic and non-monotonic mappings and find that, contrary to intuition, optimising for more informative met-rics is not generally better. Surprisingly, some monotonic transformations are promising. For example, the logistic loss is useful for minimis-ing absolute or quadratic errors in regression, and the logarithmic score helps maximise quadratic or spherical scores in classification.
