# Conformal Prediction in Hierarchical Classification with Constrained Representation Complexity

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.19038 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.19038/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 16 of its 47 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 31 Jan 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 16 of 16)

- [PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Library](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01703/) (2019)
- [EfficientNet: Rethinking Model Scaling for Convolutional Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.11946/) (2019)
- [MobileNetV2: Inverted Residuals and Linear Bottlenecks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.04381/) (2018)
- [Distribution-Free Predictive Inference For Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1604.04173/) (2016)
- [Conformalized Quantile Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.03222/) (2019)
- [Classification with Valid and Adaptive Coverage](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.02544/) (2020)
- [Uncertainty Sets for Image Classifiers using Conformal Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.14193/) (2020)
- [Conformal Risk Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.02814/) (2022)
- [Least Ambiguous Set-Valued Classifiers with Bounded Error Levels](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.00451/) (2016)
- [Nested conformal prediction and quantile out-of-bag ensemble methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.10562/) (2019)
- [Improving Conditional Coverage via Orthogonal Quantile Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.00394/) (2021)
- [Integrating Uncertainty Awareness into Conformalized Quantile Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.08693/) (2023)
- [Hierarchical classification at multiple operating points](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.10929/) (2022)
- [Conditional Probability Tree Estimation Analysis and Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1408.2031/) (2014)
- [Hierarchical Selective Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.11533/) (2024)
- [Set-valued prediction in hierarchical classification with constrained representation complexity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.06676/) (2022)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [Elements of Conformal Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.23923/) (2026)
- [Enhancing Conformal Prediction via Class Similarity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.19359/) (2025)
- [Reliable Hierarchical Operating System Fingerprinting via Conformal Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.12825/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Conformal prediction has emerged as a widely used framework for constructing valid prediction sets in classification and regression tasks. In this work, we extend the split conformal prediction framework to hierarchical classification, where prediction sets are commonly restricted to internal nodes of a predefined hierarchy, and propose two computationally efficient inference algorithms. The first algorithm returns internal nodes as prediction sets, while the second one relaxes this restriction. Using the notion of representation complexity, the latter yields smaller set sizes at the cost of a more general and combinatorial inference problem. Empirical evaluations on several benchmark datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms in achieving nominal coverage.
