# RLER-TTE: An Efficient and Effective Framework for En Route Travel Time Estimation with Reinforcement Learning

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.15493 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.15493/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in RL for autonomous driving and traffic, one of 15 directions in Deep reinforcement learning methods.
- Builds on 17 of its 45 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 26 Jan 2025.

## Placed in

- Deep reinforcement learning methods / [RL for autonomous driving and traffic](https://mlsanity.com/deeprl/rl-for-autonomous-driving-and-traffic/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 17 of 17)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.06347/) (2017)
- [Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning for Fast Adaptation of Deep Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.03400/) (2017)
- [Asynchronous Methods for Deep Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.01783/) (2016)
- [node2vec: Scalable Feature Learning for Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1607.00653/) (2016)
- [Deep Reinforcement Learning with Double Q-learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1509.06461/) (2015)
- [STAN: Spatio-Temporal Attention Network for Next Location Recommendation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.04095/) (2021)
- [Temporal Attention Unit: Towards Efficient Spatiotemporal Predictive Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.12126/) (2022)
- [A Simple Baseline for Travel Time Estimation using Large-Scale Trip Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.08580/) (2015)
- [Joint Neural Architecture and Hyperparameter Search for Correlated Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.16126/) (2022)
- [DeepTravel: a Neural Network Based Travel Time Estimation Model with Auxiliary Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.02147/) (2018)
- [Origin-Destination Travel Time Oracle for Map-based Services](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.03048/) (2023)
- [A Unified Neural Network Approach for Estimating Travel Time and Distance for a Taxi Trip](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.04350/) (2017)
- [Fine-Grained Trajectory-based Travel Time Estimation for Multi-city Scenarios Based on Deep Meta-Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.08017/) (2022)
- [Urban Traffic Accident Risk Prediction Revisited: Regionality, Proximity, Similarity and Sparsity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.19668/) (2024)
- [A Neural Approach to Spatio-Temporal Data Release with User-Level Differential Privacy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.09744/) (2022)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [RLOMM: An Efficient and Robust Online Map Matching Framework with Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.06825/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

En Route Travel Time Estimation (ER-TTE) aims to learn driving patterns from traveled routes to achieve rapid and accurate real-time predictions. However, existing methods ignore the complexity and dynamism of real-world traffic systems, resulting in significant gaps in efficiency and accuracy in real-time scenarios. Addressing this issue is a critical yet challenging task. This paper proposes a novel framework that redefines the implementation path of ER-TTE to achieve highly efficient and effective predictions. Firstly, we introduce a novel pipeline consisting of a Decision Maker and a Predictor to rectify the inefficient prediction strategies of current methods. The Decision Maker performs efficient real-time decisions to determine whether the high-complexity prediction model in the Predictor needs to be invoked, and the Predictor recalculates the travel time or infers from historical prediction results based on these decisions. Next, to tackle the dynamic and uncertain real-time scenarios, we model the online decision-making problem as a Markov decision process and design an intelligent agent based on reinforcement learning for autonomous decision-making. Moreover, to fully exploit the spatio-temporal correlation between online data and offline data, we meticulously design feature representation and encoding techniques based on the attention mechanism. Finally, to improve the flawed training and evaluation strategies of existing methods, we propose an end-to-end training and evaluation approach, incorporating curriculum learning strategies to manage spatio-temporal data for more advanced training algorithms. Extensive evaluations on three real-world datasets confirm that our method significantly outperforms state-of-the-art solutions in both accuracy and efficiency.
