# Transductive Conformal Inference for Full Ranking

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.11384 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.11384/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 13 of its 50 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 20 Jan 2025.

## Builds on (most cited first, 13 of 13)

- [PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Library](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01703/) (2019)
- [Distribution-Free Predictive Inference For Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1604.04173/) (2016)
- [Conformalized Quantile Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.03222/) (2019)
- [Conformal Prediction: a Unified Review of Theory and New Challenges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.07972/) (2020)
- [Uncertainty Quantification over Graph with Conformalized Graph Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.14535/) (2023)
- [Uncertainty quantification in the Bradley-Terry-Luce model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.03874/) (2021)
- [Ranking Inferences Based on the Top Choice of Multiway Comparisons](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.11957/) (2022)
- [Transductive conformal inference with adaptive scores](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.18108/) (2023)
- [Lagrangian Inference for Ranking Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.00151/) (2021)
- [Universal distribution of the empirical coverage in split conformal prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.02770/) (2023)
- [Recommendation Systems with Distribution-Free Reliability Guarantees](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.01609/) (2022)
- [Active embedding search via noisy paired comparisons](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.04363/) (2019)
- [Learning Concept Embeddings with Combined Human-Machine Expertise](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1509.07479/) (2015)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [Distribution-informed Efficient Conformal Prediction for Full Ranking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.23128/) (2026)
- [Language Distances are Practical for Equitable Cross-Lingual Transfer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.32331/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We introduce a method based on Conformal Prediction (CP) to quantify the uncertainty of full ranking algorithms. We focus on a specific scenario where n+m items are to be ranked by some ``black box'' algorithm. It is assumed that the relative (ground truth) ranking of n of them is known. The objective is then to quantify the error made by the algorithm on the ranks of the m new items among the total (n+m). In such a setting, the true ranks of the n original items in the total (n+m) depend on the (unknown) true ranks of the m new ones. Consequently, we have no direct access to a calibration set to apply a classical CP method. To address this challenge, we propose to construct distribution-free bounds of the unknown conformity scores using recent results on the distribution of conformal p-values. Using these scores upper bounds, we provide valid prediction sets for the rank of any item. We also control the false coverage proportion, a crucial quantity when dealing with multiple prediction sets. Finally, we empirically show on both synthetic and real data the efficiency of our CP method for state-of-the-art algorithms such as RankNet or LambdaMart.
