# Stabilizing Machine Learning for Reproducible and Explainable Results: A Novel Validation Approach to Subject-Specific Insights

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.16199 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.16199/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 6 of its 48 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 16 Dec 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 6 of 6)

- [A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07874/) (2017)
- ["Why Should I Trust You?": Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifier](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.04938/) (2016)
- [Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI): Concepts, Taxonomies, Opportunities and Challenges toward Responsible AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.10045/) (2019)
- [Deep Reinforcement Learning that Matters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.06560/) (2017)
- [Ensemble Machine Learning Model Trained on a New Synthesized Dataset Generalizes Well for Stress Prediction Using Wearable Devices](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.15146/) (2022)
- [Assessing the Reproducibility of Machine-learning-based Biomarker Discovery in Parkinson's Disease](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.03239/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Machine Learning is transforming medical research by improving diagnostic accuracy and personalizing treatments. General ML models trained on large datasets identify broad patterns across populations, but their effectiveness is often limited by the diversity of human biology. This has led to interest in subject-specific models that use individual data for more precise predictions. However, these models are costly and challenging to develop. To address this, we propose a novel validation approach that uses a general ML model to ensure reproducible performance and robust feature importance analysis at both group and subject-specific levels. We tested a single Random Forest (RF) model on nine datasets varying in domain, sample size, and demographics. Different validation techniques were applied to evaluate accuracy and feature importance consistency. To introduce variability, we performed up to 400 trials per subject, randomly seeding the ML algorithm for each trial. This generated 400 feature sets per subject, from which we identified top subject-specific features. A group-specific feature importance set was then derived from all subject-specific results. We compared our approach to conventional validation methods in terms of performance and feature importance consistency. Our repeated trials approach, with random seed variation, consistently identified key features at the subject level and improved group-level feature importance analysis using a single general model. Subject-specific models address biological variability but are resource-intensive. Our novel validation technique provides consistent feature importance and improved accuracy within a general ML model, offering a practical and explainable alternative for clinical research.
