# Video Prediction Policy: A Generalist Robot Policy with Predictive Visual Representations

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.14803 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.14803/

## Key facts

- Cited by 289 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Human-video and latent-action pretraining, one of 13 directions in Vision-language-action models.
- Builds on 51 of its 54 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 19 Dec 2024.

## Placed in

- Vision-language-action models / [Human-video and latent-action pretraining](https://mlsanity.com/vla/human-video-and-latent-action-pretraining/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 51)

- [Learning Transferable Visual Models From Natural Language Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.00020/) (2021)
- [High-Resolution Image Synthesis with Latent Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.10752/) (2021)
- [A Simple Framework for Contrastive Learning of Visual Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.05709/) (2020)
- [Masked Autoencoders Are Scalable Vision Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.06377/) (2021)
- [Scalable Diffusion Models with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.09748/) (2022)
- [Flamingo: a Visual Language Model for Few-Shot Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.14198/) (2022)
- [RT-2: Vision-Language-Action Models Transfer Web Knowledge to Robotic Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.15818/) (2023)
- [Unsupervised Learning of Visual Features by Contrasting Cluster Assignments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.09882/) (2020)
- [Diffusion Policy: Visuomotor Policy Learning via Action Diffusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.04137/) (2023)
- [InstructPix2Pix: Learning to Follow Image Editing Instructions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.09800/) (2022)
- [BEiT: BERT Pre-Training of Image Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.08254/) (2021)
- [Video Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.03458/) (2022)
- [CogVideoX: Text-to-Video Diffusion Models with An Expert Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.06072/) (2024)
- [RT-1: Robotics Transformer for Real-World Control at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.06817/) (2022)
- [An Empirical Study of Training Self-Supervised Vision Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.02057/) (2021)
- [Ego4D: Around the World in 3,000 Hours of Egocentric Video](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.07058/) (2021)
- [Octo: An Open-Source Generalist Robot Policy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.12213/) (2024)
- [Align your Latents: High-Resolution Video Synthesis with Latent Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.08818/) (2023)
- [Towards Accurate Generative Models of Video: A New Metric & Challenges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.01717/) (2018)
- [Meta-World: A Benchmark and Evaluation for Multi-Task and Meta Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.10897/) (2019)
- [Perceiver: General Perception with Iterative Attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.03206/) (2021)
- [The "something something" video database for learning and evaluating visual common sense](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04261/) (2017)
- [CogVideo: Large-scale Pretraining for Text-to-Video Generation via Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.15868/) (2022)
- [Tune-A-Video: One-Shot Tuning of Image Diffusion Models for Text-to-Video Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.11565/) (2022)
- [Open X-Embodiment: Robotic Learning Datasets and RT-X Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.08864/) (2023)
- [data2vec: A General Framework for Self-supervised Learning in Speech, Vision and Language](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.03555/) (2022)
- [SpatialVLM: Endowing Vision-Language Models with Spatial Reasoning Capabilities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.12168/) (2024)
- [R3M: A Universal Visual Representation for Robot Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.12601/) (2022)
- [CALVIN: A Benchmark for Language-Conditioned Policy Learning for Long-Horizon Robot Manipulation Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.03227/) (2021)
- [Learning Universal Policies via Text-Guided Video Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.00111/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 289)

- [World Action Models are Zero-shot Policies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.15922/) (2026)
- [Fast-WAM: Do World Action Models Need Test-time Future Imagination?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.16666/) (2026)
- [Causal World Modeling for Robot Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.21998/) (2026)
- [Cosmos Policy: Fine-Tuning Video Models for Visuomotor Control and Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.16163/) (2026)
- [Motus: A Unified Latent Action World Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.13030/) (2025)
- [Unified World Models: Coupling Video and Action Diffusion for Pretraining on Large Robotic Datasets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.02792/) (2025)
- [DreamVLA: A Vision-Language-Action Model Dreamed with Comprehensive World Knowledge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.04447/) (2025)
- [Unified Video Action Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.00200/) (2025)
- [DexVLA: Vision-Language Model with Plug-In Diffusion Expert for General Robot Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.05855/) (2025)
- [Ctrl-World: A Controllable Generative World Model for Robot Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.10125/) (2025)
- [SimpleVLA-RL: Scaling VLA Training via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.09674/) (2025)
- [VLA-Adapter: An Effective Paradigm for Tiny-Scale Vision-Language-Action Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.09372/) (2025)
- [VLA-JEPA: Enhancing Vision-Language-Action Model with Latent World Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.10098/) (2026)
- [GR-3 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.15493/) (2025)
- [F1: A Vision-Language-Action Model Bridging Understanding and Generation to Actions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.06951/) (2025)
- [WorldArena: A Unified Benchmark for Evaluating Perception and Functional Utility of Embodied World Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.08971/) (2026)
- [DiT4DiT: Jointly Modeling Video Dynamics and Actions for Generalizable Robot Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.10448/) (2026)
- [Being-H0.7: A Latent World-Action Model from Egocentric Videos](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.00078/) (2026)
- [Unified 4D World Action Modeling from Video Priors with Asynchronous Denoising](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.26694/) (2026)
- [Scalable Vision-Language-Action Model Pretraining for Robotic Manipulation with Real-Life Human Activity Videos](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.21571/) (2025)
- [WorldEval: World Model as Real-World Robot Policies Evaluator](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.19017/) (2025)
- [WoW: Towards a World omniscient World model Through Embodied Interaction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.22642/) (2025)
- [VLA-RFT: Vision-Language-Action Reinforcement Fine-tuning with Verified Rewards in World Simulators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.00406/) (2025)
- [VideoVLA: Video Generators Can Be Generalizable Robot Manipulators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.06963/) (2025)
- [villa-X: Enhancing Latent Action Modeling in Vision-Language-Action Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.23682/) (2025)
- [Vidar: Embodied Video Diffusion Model for Generalist Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.12898/) (2025)
- [FLOWER: Democratizing Generalist Robot Policies with Efficient Vision-Language-Action Flow Policies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.04996/) (2025)
- [Motubrain: An Advanced World Action Model for Robot Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.27792/) (2026)
- [KungfuBot: Physics-Based Humanoid Whole-Body Control for Learning Highly-Dynamic Skills](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.12851/) (2025)
- [InternVLA-A1: Unifying Understanding, Generation and Action for Robotic Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.02456/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Visual representations play a crucial role in developing generalist robotic policies. Previous vision encoders, typically pre-trained with single-image reconstruction or two-image contrastive learning, tend to capture static information, often neglecting the dynamic aspects vital for embodied tasks. Recently, video diffusion models (VDMs) demonstrate the ability to predict future frames and showcase a strong understanding of physical world. We hypothesize that VDMs inherently produce visual representations that encompass both current static information and predicted future dynamics, thereby providing valuable guidance for robot action learning. Based on this hypothesis, we propose the Video Prediction Policy (VPP), which learns implicit inverse dynamics model conditioned on predicted future representations inside VDMs. To predict more precise future, we fine-tune pre-trained video foundation model on robot datasets along with internet human manipulation data. In experiments, VPP achieves a 18.6% relative improvement on the Calvin ABC-D generalization benchmark compared to the previous state-of-the-art, and demonstrates a 31.6% increase in success rates for complex real-world dexterous manipulation tasks. Project page at https://video-prediction-policy.github.io