# Evaluating Large Language Models for Causal Modeling

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.15888 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.15888/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 12 of its 38 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 24 Nov 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [GPT-4 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08774/) (2023)
- [LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.13971/) (2023)
- [Mistral 7B](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06825/) (2023)
- [Mixtral of Experts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.04088/) (2024)
- [Causal Reasoning and Large Language Models: Opening a New Frontier for Causality](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.00050/) (2023)
- [Causal Parrots: Large Language Models May Talk Causality But Are Not Causal](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.13067/) (2023)
- [Can Large Language Models Infer Causation from Correlation?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.05836/) (2023)
- [A Survey of Learning Causality with Data: Problems and Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.09337/) (2018)
- [Causal-Discovery Performance of ChatGPT in the context of Neuropathic Pain Diagnosis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.13819/) (2023)
- [A Survey on Extraction of Causal Relations from Natural Language Text](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.06426/) (2021)
- [Causal BERT : Language models for causality detection between events expressed in text](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.05453/) (2020)
- [TC-GAT: Graph Attention Network for Temporal Causality Discovery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.10706/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

In this paper, we consider the process of transforming causal domain knowledge into a representation that aligns more closely with guidelines from causal data science. To this end, we introduce two novel tasks related to distilling causal domain knowledge into causal variables and detecting interaction entities using LLMs. We have determined that contemporary LLMs are helpful tools for conducting causal modeling tasks in collaboration with human experts, as they can provide a wider perspective. Specifically, LLMs, such as GPT-4-turbo and Llama3-70b, perform better in distilling causal domain knowledge into causal variables compared to sparse expert models, such as Mixtral-8x22b. On the contrary, sparse expert models such as Mixtral-8x22b stand out as the most effective in identifying interaction entities. Finally, we highlight the dependency between the domain where the entities are generated and the performance of the chosen LLM for causal modeling.