# VL-Uncertainty: Detecting Hallucination in Large Vision-Language Model via Uncertainty Estimation

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.11919 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.11919/

## Key facts

- Cited by 73 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Hallucination mitigation in LVLMs, one of 16 directions in Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models.
- Builds on 50 of its 61 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 18 Nov 2024.

## Placed in

- Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models / [Hallucination mitigation in LVLMs](https://mlsanity.com/mllm/hallucination-mitigation-in-lvlms/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 50)

- [Visual Instruction Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.08485/) (2023)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Improved Baselines with Visual Instruction Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.03744/) (2023)
- [Qwen2-VL: Enhancing Vision-Language Model's Perception of the World at Any Resolution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.12191/) (2024)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [MiniGPT-4: Enhancing Vision-Language Understanding with Advanced Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.10592/) (2023)
- [InternVL: Scaling up Vision Foundation Models and Aligning for Generic Visual-Linguistic Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.14238/) (2023)
- [What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.04977/) (2017)
- [MMMU: A Massive Multi-discipline Multimodal Understanding and Reasoning Benchmark for Expert AGI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.16502/) (2023)
- [Learn to Explain: Multimodal Reasoning via Thought Chains for Science Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.09513/) (2022)
- [Evaluating Object Hallucination in Large Vision-Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.10355/) (2023)
- [LLaVA-Med: Training a Large Language-and-Vision Assistant for Biomedicine in One Day](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.00890/) (2023)
- [MM-Vet: Evaluating Large Multimodal Models for Integrated Capabilities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.02490/) (2023)
- [Kosmos-2: Grounding Multimodal Large Language Models to the World](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.14824/) (2023)
- [Can LLMs Express Their Uncertainty? An Empirical Evaluation of Confidence Elicitation in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.13063/) (2023)
- [Shikra: Unleashing Multimodal LLM's Referential Dialogue Magic](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.15195/) (2023)
- [Semantic Uncertainty: Linguistic Invariances for Uncertainty Estimation in Natural Language Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.09664/) (2023)
- [Evidential Deep Learning to Quantify Classification Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.01768/) (2018)
- [Aligning Large Multimodal Models with Factually Augmented RLHF](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.14525/) (2023)
- [A Survey of Uncertainty in Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03342/) (2021)
- [Object Hallucination in Image Captioning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.02156/) (2018)
- [NExT-GPT: Any-to-Any Multimodal LLM](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.05519/) (2023)
- [Predictive Uncertainty Estimation via Prior Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.10501/) (2018)
- [DriveVLM: The Convergence of Autonomous Driving and Large Vision-Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.12289/) (2024)
- [Mitigating Hallucination in Large Multi-Modal Models via Robust Instruction Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.14565/) (2023)
- [Med-Flamingo: a Multimodal Medical Few-shot Learner](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.15189/) (2023)
- [Hallucination of Multimodal Large Language Models: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.18930/) (2024)
- [BatchEnsemble: An Alternative Approach to Efficient Ensemble and Lifelong Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.06715/) (2020)
- [An Embodied Generalist Agent in 3D World](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.12871/) (2023)
- [A Survey on Hallucination in Large Vision-Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.00253/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 73)

- [Uncertainty Quantification and Confidence Calibration in Large Language Models: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.15850/) (2025)
- [A Survey of Multimodal Hallucination Evaluation and Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.19024/) (2025)
- [When Modalities Conflict: How Unimodal Reasoning Uncertainty Governs Preference Dynamics in MLLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.02243/) (2025)
- [MIRAGE: Assessing Hallucination in Multimodal Reasoning Chains of MLLM](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.24238/) (2025)
- [Object Detection with Multimodal Large Vision-Language Models: An In-depth Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.19294/) (2025)
- [Consensus Entropy: Harnessing Multi-VLM Agreement for Self-Verifying and Self-Improving OCR](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.11101/) (2025)
- [GLSim: Detecting Object Hallucinations in LVLMs via Global-Local Similarity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.19972/) (2025)
- [VSearcher: Long-Horizon Multimodal Search Agent via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.02795/) (2026)
- [Hide-and-Seek in Trajectories: Discovering Failure Signals for VLA Runtime Monitoring](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.30834/) (2026)
- [Calibrating Uncertainty Quantification of Multi-Modal LLMs using Grounding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.03788/) (2025)
- [Uncertainty Quantification for Multimodal Large Language Models with Incoherence-adjusted Semantic Volume](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.24195/) (2026)
- [VL-Calibration: Decoupled Confidence Calibration for Large Vision-Language Models Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.09529/) (2026)
- [LEC: Linear Expectation Constraints for Selection-Conditioned Risk Control in Selective Prediction and Routing Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.01556/) (2025)
- [Journey Before Destination: On the importance of Visual Faithfulness in Slow Thinking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.12218/) (2025)
- [Uncertainty in Action: Confidence Elicitation in Embodied Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.10628/) (2025)
- [UniVRSE: Unified Vision-conditioned Response Semantic Entropy for Hallucination Detection in Medical Vision-Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.20504/) (2025)
- [Uncertainty-o: One Model-agnostic Framework for Unveiling Uncertainty in Large Multimodal Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.07575/) (2025)
- [HalDec-Bench: Benchmarking Hallucination Detector in Image Captioning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.20515/) (2025)
- [VAUQ: Vision-Aware Uncertainty Quantification for LVLM Self-Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.21054/) (2026)
- [Grounded or Guessing? LVLM Confidence Estimation via Blind-Image Contrastive Ranking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.10893/) (2026)
- [Do LVLMs Know What They Know? A Systematic Study of Knowledge Boundary Perception in LVLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.19111/) (2025)
- [Semantic Reformulation Entropy for Robust Hallucination Detection in QA Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.17445/) (2025)
- [BalanceRAG: Joint Risk Calibration for Cascaded Retrieval-Augmented Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.20084/) (2026)
- [Data-Driven Calibration of Prediction Sets in Large Vision-Language Models Based on Inductive Conformal Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.17671/) (2025)
- [Are vision language models robust to uncertain inputs?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.11804/) (2025)
- [HARMONY: Hidden Activation Representations and Model Output-Aware Uncertainty Estimation for Vision-Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.22171/) (2025)
- [When to Trust the Answer: Question-Aligned Semantic Nearest Neighbor Entropy for Safer Surgical VQA](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.01458/) (2025)
- [VLM-UQBench: A Benchmark for Modality-Specific and Cross-Modality Uncertainties in Vision Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.09214/) (2026)
- [Just how sure are you? Improving Verbalized Uncertainty Calibration in Medical VQA](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.27023/) (2026)
- [FastRM: An efficient and automatic explainability framework for multimodal generative models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.01487/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Given the higher information load processed by large vision-language models (LVLMs) compared to single-modal LLMs, detecting LVLM hallucinations requires more human and time expense, and thus rise a wider safety concerns. In this paper, we introduce VL-Uncertainty, the first uncertainty-based framework for detecting hallucinations in LVLMs. Different from most existing methods that require ground-truth or pseudo annotations, VL-Uncertainty utilizes uncertainty as an intrinsic metric. We measure uncertainty by analyzing the prediction variance across semantically equivalent but perturbed prompts, including visual and textual data. When LVLMs are highly confident, they provide consistent responses to semantically equivalent queries. However, when uncertain, the responses of the target LVLM become more random. Considering semantically similar answers with different wordings, we cluster LVLM responses based on their semantic content and then calculate the cluster distribution entropy as the uncertainty measure to detect hallucination. Our extensive experiments on 10 LVLMs across four benchmarks, covering both free-form and multi-choice tasks, show that VL-Uncertainty significantly outperforms strong baseline methods in hallucination detection.