# From Medprompt to o1: Exploration of Run-Time Strategies for Medical Challenge Problems and Beyond

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.03590 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.03590/

## Key facts

- Cited by 24 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 40 of its 52 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 6 Nov 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 40)

- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.11903/) (2022)
- [Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Knowledge-Intensive NLP Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.11401/) (2020)
- [ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.03629/) (2022)
- [Judging LLM-as-a-Judge with MT-Bench and Chatbot Arena](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.05685/) (2023)
- [Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.03300/) (2020)
- [Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.08361/) (2020)
- [Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.11171/) (2022)
- [Large Language Models are Zero-Shot Reasoners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.11916/) (2022)
- [Toolformer: Language Models Can Teach Themselves to Use Tools](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.04761/) (2023)
- [SWE-bench: Can Language Models Resolve Real-World GitHub Issues?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06770/) (2023)
- [Tree of Thoughts: Deliberate Problem Solving with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.10601/) (2023)
- [Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.12712/) (2023)
- [Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.03314/) (2024)
- [Large Language Models Encode Clinical Knowledge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.13138/) (2022)
- [What Disease does this Patient Have? A Large-scale Open Domain Question Answering Dataset from Medical Exams](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.13081/) (2020)
- [Gorilla: Large Language Model Connected with Massive APIs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.15334/) (2023)
- [Domain-Specific Language Model Pretraining for Biomedical Natural Language Processing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.15779/) (2020)
- [STaR: Bootstrapping Reasoning With Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.14465/) (2022)
- [Capabilities of GPT-4 on Medical Challenge Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.13375/) (2023)
- [LLM-Blender: Ensembling Large Language Models with Pairwise Ranking and Generative Fusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.02561/) (2023)
- [MedMCQA : A Large-scale Multi-Subject Multi-Choice Dataset for Medical domain Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.14371/) (2022)
- [BioGPT: Generative Pre-trained Transformer for Biomedical Text Generation and Mining](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.10341/) (2022)
- [ToxiGen: A Large-Scale Machine-Generated Dataset for Adversarial and Implicit Hate Speech Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.09509/) (2022)
- [Towards Expert-Level Medical Question Answering with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.09617/) (2023)
- [Can Generalist Foundation Models Outcompete Special-Purpose Tuning? Case Study in Medicine](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.16452/) (2023)
- [Quiet-STaR: Language Models Can Teach Themselves to Think Before Speaking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.09629/) (2024)
- [Inference Scaling Laws: An Empirical Analysis of Compute-Optimal Inference for Problem-Solving with Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.00724/) (2024)
- [Capabilities of Gemini Models in Medicine](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.18416/) (2024)
- [Many-Shot In-Context Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.11018/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 24 of 24)

- [Towards Reasoning Era: A Survey of Long Chain-of-Thought for Reasoning Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.09567/) (2025)
- [HuatuoGPT-o1, Towards Medical Complex Reasoning with LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.18925/) (2024)
- [Sequential Diagnosis with Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.22405/) (2025)
- [Rating Roulette: Self-Inconsistency in LLM-As-A-Judge Frameworks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.27106/) (2025)
- [X-Reasoner: Towards Generalizable Reasoning Across Modalities and Domains](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.03981/) (2025)
- [Superhuman performance of a large language model on the reasoning tasks of a physician](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.10849/) (2024)
- [MedS3: Towards Medical Slow Thinking with Self-Evolved Soft Dual-sided Process Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.12051/) (2025)
- [DiagnosisArena: Benchmarking Diagnostic Reasoning for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.14107/) (2025)
- [A Modular Approach for Clinical SLMs Driven by Synthetic Data with Pre-Instruction Tuning, Model Merging, and Clinical-Tasks Alignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.10717/) (2025)
- [On the Effect of Sampling Diversity in Scaling LLM Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.11027/) (2025)
- [From Scores to Steps: Diagnosing and Improving LLM Performance in Evidence-Based Medical Calculations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.16584/) (2025)
- [DISC: Dynamic Decomposition Improves LLM Inference Scaling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.16706/) (2025)
- [Empowering Healthcare Practitioners with Language Models: Structuring Speech Transcripts in Two Real-World Clinical Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.05517/) (2025)
- [Stabilizing Reasoning in Medical LLMs with Continued Pretraining and Reasoning Preference Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.18080/) (2025)
- [Structured Prompts Improve Evaluation of Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.20836/) (2025)
- [A Japanese Language Model and Three New Evaluation Benchmarks for Pharmaceutical NLP](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.16661/) (2025)
- [RephQA: Evaluating Readability of Large Language Models in Public Health Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.16360/) (2025)
- [Benchmarking the Thinking Mode of Multimodal Large Language Models in Clinical Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.03328/) (2025)
- [Note2Chat: Improving LLMs for Multi-Turn Clinical History Taking Using Medical Notes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.21551/) (2026)
- [How people use Copilot for Health](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.15331/) (2026)
- [Iterative Tree Analysis for Medical Critics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.10642/) (2025)
- [Reinforcement Learning for Evidence-Seeking Diagnostic Reasoning with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.02983/) (2026)
- [A collective capability boundary in frontier large language models on guideline-conformant and case-specific oncology decision-making](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.28592/) (2026)
- [Synthetic Hospital: An Open, Verifiable, Physician-Validated Longitudinal EHR Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.30027/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Run-time steering strategies like Medprompt are valuable for guiding large language models (LLMs) to top performance on challenging tasks. Medprompt demonstrates that a general LLM can be focused to deliver state-of-the-art performance on specialized domains like medicine by using a prompt to elicit a run-time strategy involving chain of thought reasoning and ensembling. OpenAI's o1-preview model represents a new paradigm, where a model is designed to do run-time reasoning before generating final responses. We seek to understand the behavior of o1-preview on a diverse set of medical challenge problem benchmarks. Following on the Medprompt study with GPT-4, we systematically evaluate the o1-preview model across various medical benchmarks. Notably, even without prompting techniques, o1-preview largely outperforms the GPT-4 series with Medprompt. We further systematically study the efficacy of classic prompt engineering strategies, as represented by Medprompt, within the new paradigm of reasoning models. We found that few-shot prompting hinders o1's performance, suggesting that in-context learning may no longer be an effective steering approach for reasoning-native models. While ensembling remains viable, it is resource-intensive and requires careful cost-performance optimization. Our cost and accuracy analysis across run-time strategies reveals a Pareto frontier, with GPT-4o representing a more affordable option and o1-preview achieving state-of-the-art performance at higher cost. Although o1-preview offers top performance, GPT-4o with steering strategies like Medprompt retains value in specific contexts. Moreover, we note that the o1-preview model has reached near-saturation on many existing medical benchmarks, underscoring the need for new, challenging benchmarks. We close with reflections on general directions for inference-time computation with LLMs.
