# Combining Incomplete Observational and Randomized Data for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.21343 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.21343/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 18 of its 39 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 28 Oct 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 18 of 18)

- [Estimation and Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Random Forests](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1510.04342/) (2015)
- [Meta-learners for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03461/) (2017)
- [Causal Effect Inference with Deep Latent-Variable Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.08821/) (2017)
- [Quasi-Oracle Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.04912/) (2017)
- [Learning Representations for Counterfactual Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1605.03661/) (2016)
- [Generalized Random Forests](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.01271/) (2016)
- [Bayesian Inference of Individualized Treatment Effects using Multi-task Gaussian Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.02801/) (2017)
- [Removing Hidden Confounding by Experimental Grounding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.11646/) (2018)
- [Perfect Match: A Simple Method for Learning Representations For Counterfactual Inference With Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.00656/) (2018)
- [Causal inference methods for combining randomized trials and observational studies: a review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.08047/) (2020)
- [Some methods for heterogeneous treatment effect estimation in high-dimensions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.00102/) (2017)
- [Learning Weighted Representations for Generalization Across Designs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.08598/) (2018)
- [Combining Observational and Randomized Data for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.12891/) (2022)
- [Combining multiple observational data sources to estimate causal effects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.00802/) (2018)
- [Combining Observational and Experimental Datasets Using Shrinkage Estimators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.06708/) (2020)
- [Using Experiments to Correct for Selection in Observational Studies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.09676/) (2020)
- [Adaptive Combination of Randomized and Observational Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.15012/) (2021)
- [Deconfounding Temporal Autoencoder: Estimating Treatment Effects over Time Using Noisy Proxies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.03013/) (2021)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Orthogonal Learner for Estimating Heterogeneous Long-Term Treatment Effects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.00915/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Data from observational studies (OSs) is widely available and readily obtainable yet frequently contains confounding biases. On the other hand, data derived from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) helps to reduce these biases; however, it is expensive to gather, resulting in a tiny size of randomized data. For this reason, effectively fusing observational data and randomized data to better estimate heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) has gained increasing attention. However, existing methods for integrating observational data with randomized data must require textitcomplete observational data, meaning that both treated subjects and untreated subjects must be included in OSs. This prerequisite confines the applicability of such methods to very specific situations, given that including all subjects, whether treated or untreated, in observational studies is not consistently achievable. In our paper, we propose a resilient approach to Combine Incomplete Observational data and randomized data for HTE estimation, which we abbreviate as CIO. The CIO is capable of estimating HTEs efficiently regardless of the completeness of the observational data, be it full or partial. Concretely, a confounding bias function is first derived using the pseudo-experimental group from OSs, in conjunction with the pseudo-control group from RCTs, via an effect estimation procedure. This function is subsequently utilized as a corrective residual to rectify the observed outcomes of observational data during the HTE estimation by combining the available observational data and the all randomized data. To validate our approach, we have conducted experiments on a synthetic dataset and two semi-synthetic datasets.
