# Risk-Averse Model Predictive Control for Racing in Adverse Conditions

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.17183 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.17183/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 22 Oct 2024.

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [Differentiable Model Predictive Control on the GPU](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.06179/) (2025)
- [TurboMPC: Fast, Scalable, and Differentiable Model Predictive Control on the GPU](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.24039/) (2026)
- [Generalized-CVO: Fast and Correspondence-Free Local Point Cloud Registration with Second Order Riemannian Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.10019/) (2026)
- [3D Lane Detection with Odometry for High-Speed Vehicle Racing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.14248/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Model predictive control (MPC) algorithms can be sensitive to model mismatch when used in challenging nonlinear control tasks. In particular, the performance of MPC for vehicle control at the limits of handling suffers when the underlying model overestimates the vehicle's capabilities. In this work, we propose a risk-averse MPC framework that explicitly accounts for uncertainty over friction limits and tire parameters. Our approach leverages a sample-based approximation of an optimal control problem with a conditional value at risk (CVaR) constraint. This sample-based formulation enables planning with a set of expressive vehicle dynamics models using different tire parameters. Moreover, this formulation enables efficient numerical resolution via sequential quadratic programming and GPU parallelization. Experiments on a Lexus LC 500 show that risk-averse MPC unlocks reliable performance, while a deterministic baseline that plans using a single dynamics model may lose control of the vehicle in adverse road conditions.