# SSMT: Few-Shot Traffic Forecasting with Single Source Meta-Transfer

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.15589 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.15589/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 16 of its 30 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 21 Oct 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 16 of 16)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning for Fast Adaptation of Deep Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.03400/) (2017)
- [Categorical Reparameterization with Gumbel-Softmax](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.01144/) (2016)
- [Matching Networks for One Shot Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.04080/) (2016)
- [Graph WaveNet for Deep Spatial-Temporal Graph Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.00121/) (2019)
- [Memorizing Normality to Detect Anomaly: Memory-augmented Deep Autoencoder for Unsupervised Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.02639/) (2019)
- [T-GCN: A Temporal Graph ConvolutionalNetwork for Traffic Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.05320/) (2018)
- [Learning Memory-guided Normality for Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.13228/) (2020)
- [A Survey on Negative Transfer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.00909/) (2020)
- [AdaRNN: Adaptive Learning and Forecasting of Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.04443/) (2021)
- [Spatio-Temporal Meta-Graph Learning for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.14701/) (2022)
- [Learning from Multiple Cities: A Meta-Learning Approach for Spatial-Temporal Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.08518/) (2019)
- [STG2Seq: Spatial-temporal Graph to Sequence Model for Multi-step Passenger Demand Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.10069/) (2019)
- [Spatio-Temporal Graph Few-Shot Learning with Cross-City Knowledge Transfer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.13947/) (2022)
- [Taming Local Effects in Graph-based Spatiotemporal Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.04071/) (2023)
- [Regularized Graph Structure Learning with Semantic Knowledge for Multi-variates Time-Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.06126/) (2022)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [SpaMEM: Benchmarking Dynamic Spatial Reasoning via Perception-Memory Integration in Embodied Environments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.22409/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Traffic forecasting in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) is vital for intelligent traffic prediction. Yet, ITS often relies on data from traffic sensors or vehicle devices, where certain cities might not have all those smart devices or enabling infrastructures. Also, recent studies have employed meta-learning to generalize spatial-temporal traffic networks, utilizing data from multiple cities for effective traffic forecasting for data-scarce target cities. However, collecting data from multiple cities can be costly and time-consuming. To tackle this challenge, we introduce Single Source Meta-Transfer Learning (SSMT) which relies only on a single source city for traffic prediction. Our method harnesses this transferred knowledge to enable few-shot traffic forecasting, particularly when the target city possesses limited data. Specifically, we use memory-augmented attention to store the heterogeneous spatial knowledge from the source city and selectively recall them for the data-scarce target city. We extend the idea of sinusoidal positional encoding to establish meta-learning tasks by leveraging diverse temporal traffic patterns from the source city. Moreover, to capture a more generalized representation of the positions we introduced a meta-positional encoding that learns the most optimal representation of the temporal pattern across all the tasks. We experiment on five real-world benchmark datasets to demonstrate that our method outperforms several existing methods in time series traffic prediction.
