# Evaluating the effects of Data Sparsity on the Link-level Bicycling Volume Estimation: A Graph Convolutional Neural Network Approach

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.08522 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.08522/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 10 of its 62 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 11 Oct 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 10 of 10)

- [Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.04875/) (2017)
- [T-GCN: A Temporal Graph ConvolutionalNetwork for Traffic Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.05320/) (2018)
- [Graph Neural Network for Traffic Forecasting: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.11174/) (2021)
- [GaAN: Gated Attention Networks for Learning on Large and Spatiotemporal Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.07294/) (2018)
- [OSMnx: New Methods for Acquiring, Constructing, Analyzing, and Visualizing Complex Street Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.01890/) (2016)
- [Learning Traffic as Images: A Deep Convolutional Neural Network for Large-Scale Transportation Network Speed Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1701.04245/) (2017)
- [Predicting Station-level Hourly Demands in a Large-scale Bike-sharing Network: A Graph Convolutional Neural Network Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.04997/) (2017)
- [Modeling Network-level Traffic Flow Transitions on Sparse Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.06646/) (2022)
- [Predicting Station-Level Bike-Sharing Demands Using Graph Convolutional Neural Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.08723/) (2020)
- [Modeling Large-Scale Walking and Cycling Networks: A Machine Learning Approach Using Mobile Phone and Crowdsourced Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.00162/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [BikeVAE-GNN: A Variational Autoencoder-Augmented Hybrid Graph Neural Network for Sparse Bicycle Volume Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.19517/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Accurate bicycling volume estimation is crucial for making informed decisions and planning about future investments in bicycling infrastructure. However, traditional link-level volume estimation models are effective for motorized traffic but face significant challenges when applied to the bicycling context because of sparse data and the intricate nature of bicycling mobility patterns. To the best of our knowledge, we present the first study to utilize a Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) architecture to model link-level bicycling volumes and systematically investigate the impact of varying levels of data sparsity (0%--99%) on model performance, simulating real-world scenarios. We have leveraged Strava Metro data as the primary source of bicycling counts across 15,933 road segments/links in the City of Melbourne, Australia. To evaluate the effectiveness of the GCN model, we benchmark it against traditional machine learning models, such as linear regression, support vector machines, and random forest. Our results show that the GCN model outperforms these traditional models in predicting Annual Average Daily Bicycle (AADB) counts, demonstrating its ability to capture the spatial dependencies inherent in bicycle traffic networks. While GCN remains robust up to 80% sparsity, its performance declines sharply beyond this threshold, highlighting the challenges of extreme data sparsity. These findings underscore the potential of GCNs in enhancing bicycling volume estimation, while also emphasizing the need for further research on methods to improve model resilience under high-sparsity conditions. Our findings offer valuable insights for city planners aiming to improve bicycling infrastructure and promote sustainable transportation.