# Cost-aware simulation-based inference

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.07930 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.07930/

## Key facts

- Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 27 of its 81 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Oct 2024.

## Builds on (most cited first, 27 of 27)

- [Normalizing Flows for Probabilistic Modeling and Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.02762/) (2019)
- [Masked Autoregressive Flow for Density Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07057/) (2017)
- [GPyTorch: Blackbox Matrix-Matrix Gaussian Process Inference with GPU Acceleration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.11165/) (2018)
- [The frontier of simulation-based inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.01429/) (2019)
- [Revisiting Classifier Two-Sample Tests](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.06545/) (2016)
- [Sequential Neural Likelihood: Fast Likelihood-free Inference with Autoregressive Flows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.07226/) (2018)
- [Automatic Posterior Transformation for Likelihood-Free Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.07488/) (2019)
- [Benchmarking Simulation-Based Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.04653/) (2021)
- [BayesFlow: Learning complex stochastic models with invertible neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.06281/) (2020)
- [On Contrastive Learning for Likelihood-free Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.03712/) (2020)
- [Bayesian Optimization for Likelihood-Free Inference of Simulator-Based Statistical Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1501.03291/) (2015)
- [Learning Robust Statistics for Simulation-based Inference under Model Misspecification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.15871/) (2023)
- [Statistical Inference for Generative Models with Maximum Mean Discrepancy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.05944/) (2019)
- [Cost-aware Bayesian Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.10870/) (2020)
- [Robust Bayesian Inference for Simulator-based Models via the MMD Posterior Bootstrap](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.04744/) (2022)
- [Bayesian Synthetic Likelihood](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.05120/) (2023)
- [Neural Importance Sampling for Rapid and Reliable Gravitational-Wave Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.05686/) (2022)
- [GPS-ABC: Gaussian Process Surrogate Approximate Bayesian Computation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1401.2838/) (2014)
- [Efficient acquisition rules for model-based approximate Bayesian computation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.00520/) (2017)
- [Composite Goodness-of-fit Tests with Kernels](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.10275/) (2021)
- [Optimally-Weighted Estimators of the Maximum Mean Discrepancy for Likelihood-Free Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.11674/) (2023)
- [AircraftVerse: A Large-Scale Multimodal Dataset of Aerial Vehicle Designs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.05562/) (2023)
- [Discrepancy-based Inference for Intractable Generative Models using Quasi-Monte Carlo](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.11561/) (2021)
- [Generalized Bayesian Likelihood-Free Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.03889/) (2021)
- [Approximate Bayesian Computation with Domain Expert in the Loop](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.12090/) (2022)
- [Accelerating ABC methods using Gaussian processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1401.1436/) (2014)
- [Distilling Importance Sampling for Likelihood Free Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.03632/) (2019)

## Built on by (most cited first, 6 of 6)

- [Compositional simulation-based inference for time series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.02728/) (2024)
- [Multilevel neural simulation-based inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.06087/) (2025)
- [Constrained Bayesian Experimental Design via Online Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.26990/) (2026)
- [Simulation-Based Inference via Regression Projection and Batched Discrepancies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.03613/) (2026)
- [Conservative neural posterior estimation via distributionally robust training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.28516/) (2026)
- [Exploiting Gradients in Bayesian Inference of Expensive Simulators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.12076/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Simulation-based inference (SBI) is the preferred framework for estimating parameters of intractable models in science and engineering. A significant challenge in this context is the large computational cost of simulating data from complex models, and the fact that this cost often depends on parameter values. We therefore propose textitcost-aware SBI methods which can significantly reduce the cost of existing sampling-based SBI methods, such as neural SBI and approximate Bayesian computation. This is achieved through a combination of rejection and self-normalised importance sampling, which significantly reduces the number of expensive simulations needed. Our approach is studied extensively on models from epidemiology to telecommunications engineering, where we obtain significant reductions in the overall cost of inference.
